Alten Valuation

Is AN3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AN3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AN3 (€114) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€134.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AN3 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AN3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AN3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.6x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AN3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AN3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.3x
BC8 Bechtle
21.5x8.8%€5.7b
NA9 Nagarro
18.8x17.4%€953.2m
GFT GFT Technologies
15.6x14.4%€755.6m
YSN secunet Security Networks
33.3x9.7%€970.4m
AN3 Alten
17x11.3%€4.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AN3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (22.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AN3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE IT Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AN3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the European IT industry average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AN3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AN3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ratio25.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AN3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AN3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€114.00
€155.37
+36.3%
4.0%€165.00€147.00n/a7
Apr ’25€135.00
€160.09
+18.6%
3.6%€170.00€150.00n/a7
Mar ’25€138.90
€158.83
+14.3%
4.0%€170.00€150.00n/a8
Feb ’25€143.90
€157.99
+9.8%
5.2%€175.00€147.30n/a9
Jan ’25€134.50
€153.13
+13.9%
5.7%€170.00€140.00n/a10
Dec ’24€125.70
€153.13
+21.8%
5.7%€170.00€140.00n/a10
Nov ’24€112.50
€155.03
+37.8%
6.8%€170.00€140.00n/a10
Oct ’24€123.90
€166.81
+34.6%
7.5%€180.00€140.00n/a10
Sep ’24€130.80
€170.68
+30.5%
9.1%€195.00€140.00n/a9
Aug ’24€133.60
€173.26
+29.7%
8.4%€195.00€140.00n/a8
Jul ’24€144.20
€175.51
+21.7%
8.6%€195.00€140.00n/a8
Jun ’24€149.80
€175.65
+17.3%
8.6%€195.00€140.00n/a8
May ’24€153.60
€175.65
+14.4%
8.6%€195.00€140.00€110.108
Apr ’24€146.60
€172.25
+17.5%
7.4%€181.20€140.00€135.008
Mar ’24€148.20
€168.69
+13.8%
8.5%€181.20€140.00€138.909
Feb ’24€141.30
€161.69
+14.4%
9.4%€180.00€128.00€143.909
Jan ’24€117.40
€154.21
+31.4%
9.9%€180.00€125.00€134.509
Dec ’23€121.70
€153.32
+26.0%
10.2%€180.00€125.00€125.709
Nov ’23€119.20
€154.88
+29.9%
10.3%€180.00€125.00€112.509
Oct ’23€110.80
€153.77
+38.8%
10.8%€180.00€123.00€123.9010
Sep ’23€121.80
€161.92
+32.9%
10.5%€181.00€134.00€130.8010
Aug ’23€130.80
€161.92
+23.8%
10.5%€181.00€134.00€133.6010
Jul ’23€101.70
€158.94
+56.3%
12.6%€180.00€124.00€144.209
Jun ’23€123.40
€160.13
+29.8%
11.6%€180.00€124.00€149.809
May ’23€129.80
€160.13
+23.4%
11.6%€180.00€124.00€153.609

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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