secunet Security Networks Aktiengesellschaft

XTRA:YSN Stock Report

Market Cap: €652.1m

secunet Security Networks Valuation

Is YSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YSN (€99.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€131.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YSN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YSN?

Key metric: As YSN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YSN. This is calculated by dividing YSN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YSN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.3x
Earnings€27.65m
Market Cap€652.13m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YSN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YSN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.8x
COK Cancom
18.9x12.8%€765.2m
GFT GFT Technologies
12.8x13.3%€605.5m
SHF SNP Schneider-Neureither & Partner
27.1x11.1%€386.0m
SANT Kontron
12.5x19.1%€1.1b
YSN secunet Security Networks
23.3x8.4%€643.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x) compared to the peer average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YSN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE IT Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
YSN 23.3xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies3PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x) compared to the European IT industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YSN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.3x
Fair PE Ratio20.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YSN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€99.50
€188.75
+89.7%
30.0%€258.00€102.00n/a4
Nov ’25€108.60
€195.00
+79.6%
30.6%€267.00€102.00n/a4
Oct ’25€92.00
€192.75
+109.5%
31.8%€267.00€98.00n/a4
Sep ’25€104.00
€192.75
+85.3%
31.8%€267.00€98.00n/a4
Aug ’25€118.20
€203.75
+72.4%
31.4%€267.00€105.00n/a4
Jul ’25€122.80
€203.75
+65.9%
31.4%€267.00€105.00n/a4
Jun ’25€142.60
€203.75
+42.9%
31.4%€267.00€105.00n/a4
May ’25€150.80
€216.50
+43.6%
36.3%€318.00€105.00n/a4
Apr ’25€160.40
€216.50
+35.0%
36.3%€318.00€105.00n/a4
Mar ’25€154.00
€215.25
+39.8%
35.8%€318.00€105.00n/a4
Feb ’25€166.60
€235.00
+41.1%
38.3%€320.00€105.00n/a4
Jan ’25€146.00
€231.25
+58.4%
38.8%€318.00€100.00n/a4
Dec ’24€141.00
€275.00
+95.0%
20.1%€318.00€197.00n/a3
Nov ’24€129.60
€285.00
+119.9%
21.7%€345.00€200.00€108.603
Oct ’24€201.00
€315.00
+56.7%
20.6%€375.00€225.00€92.003
Sep ’24€220.50
€315.00
+42.9%
20.6%€375.00€225.00€104.003
Aug ’24€205.50
€312.00
+51.8%
20.4%€375.00€225.00€118.203
Jul ’24€217.50
€312.00
+43.4%
20.4%€375.00€225.00€122.803
Jun ’24€195.80
€312.00
+59.3%
20.4%€375.00€225.00€142.603
May ’24€200.00
€311.33
+55.7%
20.3%€375.00€225.00€150.803
Apr ’24€203.50
€313.00
+53.8%
20.4%€375.00€225.00€160.403
Mar ’24€232.00
€314.67
+35.6%
19.6%€375.00€230.00€154.003
Feb ’24€225.00
€314.67
+39.9%
19.6%€375.00€230.00€166.603
Jan ’24€196.40
€328.33
+67.2%
22.3%€385.00€225.00€146.003
Dec ’23€230.00
€380.00
+65.2%
1.3%€385.00€375.00€141.002
Nov ’23€216.50
€437.50
+102.1%
12.0%€490.00€385.00€129.602

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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