Kinaxis Valuation

Is 9KX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9KX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9KX (€102) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€186.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9KX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9KX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

9KX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA99.2x
PEG Ratio8.8x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 9KX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 9KX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.6x
AOF ATOSS Software
12.8x13.2%€2.1b
TMV TeamViewer
3.2x7.4%€2.0b
NEM Nemetschek
11.3x11.9%€9.5b
MUM Mensch und Maschine Software
2.9x2.2%€910.1m
9KX Kinaxis
7.2x14.5%€4.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 9KX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (7.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9KX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 9KX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the German Software industry average (1.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9KX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9KX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.2x
Fair PS Ratio5.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 9KX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9KX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€101.00
€134.64
+33.3%
9.7%€153.02€105.15n/a11
Apr ’25€104.00
€131.41
+26.4%
9.9%€151.46€102.32n/a11
Mar ’25€95.50
€132.73
+39.0%
9.9%€152.98€103.35n/a11
Feb ’25€112.00
€148.05
+32.2%
8.4%€171.93€127.40n/a11
Jan ’25€101.00
€145.35
+43.9%
7.7%€166.63€127.75n/a11
Dec ’24€102.00
€148.32
+45.4%
8.4%€169.06€129.61n/a11
Nov ’24€92.00
€152.25
+65.5%
8.0%€171.07€129.55n/a11
Oct ’24€104.00
€152.30
+46.4%
6.7%€171.54€136.87n/a11
Sep ’24€113.00
€152.30
+34.8%
6.7%€171.54€136.87n/a11
Aug ’24€123.00
€151.34
+23.0%
6.5%€172.06€135.83n/a10
Jul ’24€127.00
€152.83
+20.3%
6.5%€173.42€137.19n/a10
Jun ’24€125.00
€148.22
+18.6%
6.3%€167.30€136.10n/a11
May ’24€122.00
€146.79
+20.3%
7.0%€168.37€133.84n/a11
Apr ’24€123.00
€151.05
+22.8%
6.8%€172.75€138.10€104.0011
Mar ’24€109.00
€148.10
+35.9%
9.1%€176.46€128.40€95.5011
Feb ’24€106.00
€144.90
+36.7%
8.9%€171.89€125.94€112.0011
Jan ’24€105.00
€147.31
+40.3%
8.8%€173.14€128.37€101.0011
Dec ’23€108.00
€156.40
+44.8%
9.2%€184.53€136.82€102.0011
Nov ’23€108.00
€159.66
+47.8%
9.0%€183.03€138.89€92.0011
Oct ’23€100.00
€172.69
+72.7%
8.5%€200.36€151.71€104.0011
Sep ’23€114.00
€166.13
+45.7%
8.1%€190.73€144.42€113.0010
Aug ’23€116.00
€157.44
+35.7%
10.7%€189.68€133.20€123.0010
Jul ’23€102.00
€154.81
+51.8%
10.9%€187.29€129.55€127.0010
Jun ’23€103.00
€154.81
+50.3%
10.9%€187.29€129.55€125.0010
May ’23€106.00
€158.59
+49.6%
9.3%€185.04€133.07€122.0010
Apr ’23€118.00
€151.14
+28.1%
8.1%€164.83€125.93€123.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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