F-Secure Oyj Valuation

Is 3I6 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3I6 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3I6 (€1.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3I6 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3I6?

Key metric: As 3I6 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3I6. This is calculated by dividing 3I6's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3I6's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.5x
Earnings€20.87m
Market Cap€323.84m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3I6's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3I6 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.7x
IXX init innovation in traffic systems
19.8x27.8%€362.5m
IVU IVU Traffic Technologies
20.2xn/a€229.5m
OSP2 USU Software
38.1x39.7%€225.8m
FAA Fabasoft
20.7x5.9%€190.0m
3I6 F-Secure Oyj
15.5x16.2%€323.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3I6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.5x) compared to the peer average (24.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3I6's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3I6 15.5xIndustry Avg. 28.3xNo. of Companies17PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3I6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.5x) compared to the European Software industry average (28.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3I6's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3I6 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.5x
Fair PE Ratio20.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3I6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3I6 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.79
€2.55
+42.5%
7.1%€2.80€2.30n/a4
Nov ’25€1.85
€2.58
+39.3%
8.4%€2.90€2.30n/a4
Oct ’25€2.10
€2.58
+22.6%
8.4%€2.90€2.30n/a4
Sep ’25€2.03
€2.60
+28.1%
9.4%€2.90€2.30n/a3
Aug ’25€2.06
€2.60
+26.5%
9.4%€2.90€2.30n/a3
Jul ’25€1.91
€2.57
+34.1%
8.0%€2.80€2.30n/a3
Jun ’25€2.24
€2.57
+14.8%
8.0%€2.80€2.30n/a3
May ’25€2.06
€2.57
+24.9%
8.0%€2.80€2.30n/a3
Apr ’25€1.85
€2.43
+31.2%
10.8%€2.80€2.20n/a3
Mar ’25€1.78
€2.50
+40.6%
14.2%€3.00€2.20n/a3
Feb ’25€1.90
€2.40
+26.6%
12.5%€2.90€2.10n/a4
Jan ’25€2.04
€2.38
+16.4%
13.1%€2.90€2.10n/a4
Dec ’24€1.86
€2.38
+27.7%
13.1%€2.90€2.10n/a4
Nov ’24€1.68
€2.40
+43.0%
14.7%€3.00€2.10€1.854
Oct ’24€1.73
€2.68
+54.4%
15.0%€3.10€2.10€2.104
Sep ’24€2.36
€3.05
+29.5%
11.9%€3.50€2.60€2.034
Aug ’24€2.23
€3.20
+43.8%
9.2%€3.50€2.80€2.063
Jul ’24€2.31
€3.43
+49.0%
5.0%€3.60€3.20€1.913
Jun ’24€2.73
€3.50
+28.4%
6.2%€3.70€3.20€2.243
May ’24€2.89
€3.53
+22.5%
4.8%€3.70€3.30€2.063
Apr ’24€3.18
€3.43
+8.0%
3.6%€3.60€3.30€1.853
Mar ’24€3.19
€3.23
+1.4%
5.3%€3.40€3.00€1.783
Feb ’24€2.91
€3.17
+9.0%
5.4%€3.40€3.00€1.903
Jan ’24€2.74
€3.17
+15.8%
5.4%€3.40€3.00€2.043
Dec ’23€3.06
€3.17
+3.5%
5.4%€3.40€3.00€1.863
Nov ’23€2.78
€3.17
+13.9%
5.4%€3.40€3.00€1.683

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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