Stock Analysis

SAP SE Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

XTRA:SAP
Source: Shutterstock

SAP SE (ETR:SAP) last week reported its latest yearly results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. SAP reported €34b in revenue, roughly in line with analyst forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of €2.65 beat expectations, being 5.6% higher than what the analysts expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for SAP

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:SAP Earnings and Revenue Growth January 30th 2025

After the latest results, the 29 analysts covering SAP are now predicting revenues of €38.3b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a decent 12% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 120% to €5.92. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €37.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of €5.83 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at €263. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic SAP analyst has a price target of €310 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €150. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the SAP's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The analysts are definitely expecting SAP's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 12% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 4.4% per annum over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 11% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that SAP is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. The consensus price target held steady at €263, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for SAP going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with SAP .

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About XTRA:SAP

SAP

Provides applications, technology, and services worldwide.

Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

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