Splunk Valuation

Is S0U undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of S0U when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: S0U (€116.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€192.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: S0U is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for S0U?

Key metric: As S0U is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for S0U. This is calculated by dividing S0U's market cap by their current revenue.
What is S0U's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio6.4x
SalesUS$3.98b
Market CapUS$25.51b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does S0U's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for S0U vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.7x
NEM Nemetschek
12.4x14.1%€11.5b
AOF ATOSS Software
11.4x12.7%€1.9b
NB2 Northern Data
27.2x31.5%€2.1b
SAP SAP
7.9x10.3%€256.6b
S0U Splunk
6.4x11.4%€25.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: S0U is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does S0U's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Software Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CSH CENIT
0.4x5.2%US$75.69m
CLIQ Cliq Digital
0.09x12.6%US$26.28m
LSX LS telcom
0.5x5.0%US$21.25m
IVX InVision
0.6xn/aUS$9.65m
S0U 6.4xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies7PS02.44.87.29.612+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: S0U is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.4x) compared to the German Software industry average (1.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is S0U's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

S0U PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio6.4x
Fair PS Ratio11.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: S0U is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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