Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Nemetschek SE (ETR:NEM) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Nemetschek
How Much Debt Does Nemetschek Carry?
As you can see below, Nemetschek had €40.9m of debt at June 2023, down from €128.3m a year prior. But it also has €209.2m in cash to offset that, meaning it has €168.3m net cash.
How Strong Is Nemetschek's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Nemetschek had liabilities of €422.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €93.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €209.2m in cash and €107.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €199.3m.
Since publicly traded Nemetschek shares are worth a total of €7.07b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Nemetschek also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
But the other side of the story is that Nemetschek saw its EBIT decline by 8.8% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nemetschek's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Nemetschek may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Nemetschek actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Nemetschek has €168.3m in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 114% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €203m. So we don't think Nemetschek's use of debt is risky. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Nemetschek, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:NEM
Nemetschek
Provides software solutions for architecture, engineering, construction, media, and entertainment markets in Germany, rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.
Outstanding track record with moderate growth potential.