Is There Now An Opportunity In Fabasoft AG (ETR:FAA)?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
January 11, 2022
XTRA:FAA
Source: Shutterstock

While Fabasoft AG (ETR:FAA) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the XTRA, rising to highs of €38.20 and falling to the lows of €32.50. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Fabasoft's current trading price of €32.70 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Fabasoft’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Fabasoft

What is Fabasoft worth?

According to my valuation model, Fabasoft seems to be fairly priced at around 8.3% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Fabasoft today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €35.67, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Fabasoft’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Fabasoft look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:FAA Earnings and Revenue Growth January 11th 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Fabasoft's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 71%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in FAA’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on FAA, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Fabasoft.

If you are no longer interested in Fabasoft, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Discounted cash flow calculation for every stock

Simply Wall St does a detailed discounted cash flow calculation every 6 hours for every stock on the market, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any company just search here. It’s FREE.

Make Confident Investment Decisions

Simply Wall St's Editorial Team provides unbiased, factual reporting on global stocks using in-depth fundamental analysis.
Find out more about our editorial guidelines and team.