Stock Analysis
CENIT Aktiengesellschaft Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
CENIT Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:CSH) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at €49m, statutory earnings missed forecasts by an incredible 96%, coming in at just €0.01 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
View our latest analysis for CENIT
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for CENIT from five analysts is for revenues of €204.7m in 2024. If met, it would imply a satisfactory 4.6% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 96% to €0.72. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €202.0m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.71 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at €21.29. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values CENIT at €23.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €19.00. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that CENIT is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that CENIT's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 9.4% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.9% p.a. over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 10% per year. CENIT is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. The consensus price target held steady at €21.29, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for CENIT going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for CENIT that you need to be mindful of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About XTRA:CSH
CENIT
Operates as an IT consultancy and software company that serves manufacturing and financial service industries in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, North America, Romania, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, and China.