PVA TePla Valuation

Is TPE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TPE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TPE (€12.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€16.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TPE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TPE?

Key metric: As TPE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TPE. This is calculated by dividing TPE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TPE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.1x
Earnings€25.48m
Market Cap€257.95m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TPE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TPE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.7x
S92 SMA Solar Technology
2.5x-20.9%€416.4m
SMHN SÜSS MicroTec
22.8x-3.4%€978.7m
AIXA AIXTRON
13.6x6.2%€1.6b
CTNK centrotherm international
3.9xn/a€67.7m
TPE PVA TePla
10.1x4.3%€258.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TPE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the peer average (10.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TPE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TPE 10.1xIndustry Avg. 14.4xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TPE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TPE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TPE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.1x
Fair PE Ratio11.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TPE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TPE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.15
€22.14
+82.2%
30.6%€35.26€10.20n/a12
Nov ’25€11.64
€22.93
+97.0%
31.4%€35.26€10.20n/a12
Oct ’25€13.36
€24.06
+80.1%
27.7%€35.26€10.20n/a12
Sep ’25€15.04
€25.31
+68.3%
21.4%€35.26€17.00n/a11
Aug ’25€14.47
€27.41
+89.4%
20.9%€35.26€18.00n/a11
Jul ’25€15.30
€28.59
+86.8%
16.5%€35.26€19.00n/a11
Jun ’25€18.46
€28.59
+54.9%
16.5%€35.26€19.00n/a11
May ’25€18.65
€28.77
+54.3%
15.9%€35.00€19.00n/a10
Apr ’25€18.89
€28.67
+51.8%
16.3%€35.00€19.00n/a10
Mar ’25€22.62
€27.70
+22.5%
20.5%€35.00€18.52n/a10
Feb ’25€20.92
€26.95
+28.8%
20.0%€34.00€18.52n/a10
Jan ’25€20.38
€26.95
+32.2%
20.0%€34.00€18.52n/a10
Dec ’24€19.50
€26.55
+36.2%
20.8%€34.00€18.52n/a10
Nov ’24€14.25
€27.20
+90.9%
19.5%€34.00€18.49€11.6410
Oct ’24€15.26
€28.17
+84.6%
16.6%€34.00€21.00€13.369
Sep ’24€17.88
€28.17
+57.5%
16.6%€34.00€21.00€15.049
Aug ’24€21.10
€28.06
+33.0%
17.3%€34.00€20.00€14.479
Jul ’24€18.81
€29.72
+58.0%
20.0%€40.00€20.00€15.309
Jun ’24€18.98
€29.72
+56.6%
20.0%€40.00€20.00€18.469
May ’24€19.13
€29.83
+56.0%
20.1%€40.00€20.00€18.659
Apr ’24€21.68
€29.50
+36.1%
21.4%€40.00€18.00€18.899
Mar ’24€25.94
€30.10
+16.0%
27.3%€46.00€18.00€22.6210
Feb ’24€22.20
€28.75
+29.5%
28.2%€46.00€18.00€20.9210
Jan ’24€18.77
€27.25
+45.2%
32.0%€46.00€15.00€20.3810
Dec ’23€19.26
€26.15
+35.8%
36.3%€46.00€15.00€19.5010
Nov ’23€17.48
€28.26
+61.7%
34.4%€46.00€15.00€14.2510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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