MegaChips Valuation

Is MHC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MHC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MHC (€34.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€17.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MHC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MHC?

Key metric: As MHC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MHC. This is calculated by dividing MHC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MHC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.7x
EarningsJP¥5.86b
Market CapJP¥98.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MHC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MHC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.3x
ELG Elmos Semiconductor
10.5x4.1%€1.1b
P4O Planoptik
10.9xn/a€13.7m
IFX Infineon Technologies
22.3x17.0%€39.0b
SMHN SÜSS MicroTec
21.5x-3.4%€924.2m
MHC MegaChips
16.7x1.7%€98.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MHC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the peer average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MHC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MHC 16.7xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MHC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MHC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MHC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.7x
Fair PE Ratio11x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MHC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MHC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€34.40
€35.23
+2.4%
0.8%€35.43€34.82n/a3
Nov ’25€32.40
€36.94
+14.0%
0.8%€37.15€36.51n/a3
Oct ’25€32.00
€36.94
+15.4%
0.8%€37.15€36.51n/a3
Sep ’25€30.40
€31.87
+4.8%
7.8%€33.92€28.36n/a3
Aug ’25€25.00
€31.87
+27.5%
7.8%€33.92€28.36n/a3
Jul ’25€23.40
€32.16
+37.4%
7.8%€34.23€28.62n/a3
Jun ’25€24.20
€32.87
+35.8%
3.9%€34.05€31.11n/a3
May ’25€21.40
€34.78
+62.5%
3.9%€36.02€32.91n/a3
Apr ’25€23.00
€34.78
+51.2%
3.9%€36.02€32.91n/a3
Mar ’25€25.40
€34.78
+36.9%
3.9%€36.02€32.91n/a3
Feb ’25€29.20
€34.98
+19.8%
3.9%€36.23€33.11n/a3
Jan ’25€29.00
€32.26
+11.2%
7.1%€35.25€29.68n/a3
Dec ’24€25.60
€32.26
+26.0%
7.1%€35.25€29.68n/a3
Nov ’24€23.80
€33.43
+40.4%
7.1%€36.52€30.76€32.403
Oct ’24€25.80
€33.43
+29.6%
7.1%€36.52€30.76€32.003
Sep ’24€25.60
€33.43
+30.6%
7.1%€36.52€30.76€30.403
Aug ’24€26.60
€31.95
+20.1%
2.9%€33.01€30.77€25.003
Jul ’24€23.00
€29.85
+29.8%
13.0%€33.06€24.40€23.403
Jun ’24€22.80
€31.23
+37.0%
13.5%€35.01€25.34€24.203
May ’24€21.00
€33.56
+59.8%
15.2%€37.84€26.39€21.403
Apr ’24€22.00
€33.56
+52.6%
15.2%€37.84€26.39€23.003
Mar ’24€19.50
€34.96
+79.3%
10.1%€38.49€31.43€25.402
Feb ’24€18.60
€35.20
+89.3%
10.1%€38.76€31.65€29.202
Jan ’24€17.00
€33.50
+97.1%
11.5%€38.85€29.94€29.003
Dec ’23€18.50
€36.01
+94.6%
13.9%€40.99€29.18€25.603
Nov ’23€16.80
€40.57
+141.5%
18.4%€48.32€30.52€23.803

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies