Canadian Solar Valuation

Is L5A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of L5A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: L5A (€11.85) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€11.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: L5A is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for L5A?

Key metric: As L5A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for L5A. This is calculated by dividing L5A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is L5A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.6x
EarningsUS$36.68m
Market CapUS$864.76m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does L5A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for L5A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.4x
ELG Elmos Semiconductor
10.4x4.1%€1.1b
P4O Planoptik
11.2xn/a€14.1m
SMHN SÜSS MicroTec
21.5x-3.4%€923.3m
IFX Infineon Technologies
22.6x17.0%€39.6b
L5A Canadian Solar
23.6x59.8%€864.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: L5A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x) compared to the peer average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does L5A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
L5A 23.6xIndustry Avg. 14.9xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: L5A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is L5A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

L5A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.6x
Fair PE Ratio38.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: L5A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst L5A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11.85
€18.05
+52.3%
32.8%€28.95€10.48n/a9
Nov ’25€13.38
€18.11
+35.3%
32.5%€28.14€10.19n/a8
Oct ’25€14.27
€18.65
+30.7%
26.7%€27.58€12.71n/a8
Sep ’25€11.32
€19.65
+73.6%
31.4%€31.36€12.54n/a9
Aug ’25€14.89
€23.48
+57.7%
32.2%€39.44€16.51n/a9
Jul ’25€13.50
€23.59
+74.8%
32.8%€39.80€15.73n/a9
Jun ’25€18.61
€23.78
+27.8%
34.0%€39.60€15.66n/a9
May ’25€15.55
€27.13
+74.5%
33.2%€47.93€19.74n/a9
Apr ’25€17.95
€26.41
+47.2%
34.6%€47.26€19.46n/a8
Mar ’25€19.64
€29.79
+51.7%
27.5%€47.06€20.30n/a7
Feb ’25€21.10
€31.24
+48.1%
27.9%€46.86€20.22n/a8
Jan ’25€23.64
€30.23
+27.9%
31.1%€46.72€20.15n/a8
Dec ’24€19.23
€29.80
+55.0%
33.0%€46.76€19.25n/a8
Nov ’24€18.31
€38.02
+107.7%
35.7%€64.24€19.84€13.388
Oct ’24€23.50
€39.50
+68.1%
29.6%€63.39€25.17€14.278
Sep ’24€26.15
€40.87
+56.3%
27.0%€62.46€24.80€11.328
Aug ’24€33.00
€47.85
+45.0%
20.8%€62.90€35.04€14.898
Jul ’24€34.46
€48.49
+40.7%
20.8%€63.89€35.60€13.508
Jun ’24€37.80
€49.48
+30.9%
21.1%€65.50€36.49€18.618
May ’24€33.56
€44.96
+34.0%
17.5%€56.59€31.95€15.558
Apr ’24€36.34
€43.62
+20.0%
16.1%€55.34€32.28€17.957
Mar ’24€39.50
€43.77
+10.8%
15.0%€53.73€32.99€19.647
Feb ’24€38.62
€41.22
+6.8%
18.5%€52.55€30.42€21.107
Jan ’24€28.77
€43.26
+50.4%
17.7%€54.80€31.73€23.647
Dec ’23€33.95
€43.26
+27.4%
17.7%€54.80€31.73€19.237
Nov ’23€33.89
€45.15
+33.2%
18.1%€56.72€33.43€18.317

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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