Enphase Energy Valuation

Is E0P undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of E0P when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: E0P (€105.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€160.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: E0P is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for E0P?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

E0P key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA28.2x
PEG Ratio2.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does E0P's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for E0P vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.7x
AIXA AIXTRON
17.4x12.8%€2.5b
WAF Siltronic
13x-2.5%€2.4b
S92 SMA Solar Technology
7.3x-7.3%€1.7b
SMHN SÜSS MicroTec
44.9x19.7%€778.0m
E0P Enphase Energy
34.7x16.6%€15.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: E0P is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.7x) compared to the peer average (20.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does E0P's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: E0P is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.7x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (16x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is E0P's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

E0P PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.7x
Fair PE Ratio33.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: E0P is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst E0P forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€105.40
€121.20
+15.0%
15.4%€162.53€64.83n/a39
Apr ’25€111.30
€119.00
+6.9%
15.9%€159.80€63.74n/a38
Mar ’25€119.08
€117.48
-1.3%
16.9%€159.51€63.62n/a37
Feb ’25€96.86
€113.41
+17.1%
19.0%€153.63€69.41n/a35
Jan ’25€121.00
€108.29
-10.5%
25.9%€207.81€67.76n/a36
Dec ’24€94.89
€103.64
+9.2%
28.2%€211.26€59.70n/a36
Nov ’24€68.33
€110.55
+61.8%
28.9%€217.65€70.97n/a35
Oct ’24€113.58
€173.52
+52.8%
18.2%€247.38€107.64n/a33
Sep ’24€117.04
€178.22
+52.3%
16.2%€241.56€110.64n/a32
Aug ’24€139.40
€181.01
+29.8%
17.8%€275.76€122.46n/a32
Jul ’24€153.90
€224.50
+45.9%
16.0%€290.50€151.21n/a34
Jun ’24€169.98
€234.69
+38.1%
17.2%€318.19€153.96n/a34
May ’24€145.00
€235.66
+62.5%
13.6%€309.46€149.74n/a34
Apr ’24€194.36
€266.61
+37.2%
14.3%€336.49€165.94€111.3031
Mar ’24€201.20
€272.61
+35.5%
14.7%€342.33€168.82€119.0829
Feb ’24€204.20
€271.90
+33.2%
15.5%€332.26€172.96€96.8626
Jan ’24€250.00
€297.72
+19.1%
15.7%€357.62€179.28€121.0029
Dec ’23€299.45
€291.22
-2.7%
15.2%€344.85€180.50€94.8927
Nov ’23€301.50
€304.73
+1.1%
15.2%€364.20€190.63€68.3326
Oct ’23€288.90
€281.81
-2.5%
16.6%€363.11€150.05€113.5826
Sep ’23€274.50
€274.28
-0.08%
15.8%€363.15€150.06€117.0427
Aug ’23€272.95
€252.82
-7.4%
15.5%€309.20€147.24€139.4026
Jul ’23€190.96
€215.63
+12.9%
17.0%€291.50€125.33€153.9026
Jun ’23€173.56
€212.56
+22.5%
17.7%€290.85€125.06€169.9825
May ’23€156.04
€212.56
+36.2%
17.7%€290.85€125.06€145.0025
Apr ’23€187.34
€202.70
+8.2%
18.3%€264.89€120.57€194.3624

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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