Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Elmos Semiconductor SE (ETR:ELG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Elmos Semiconductor
What Is Elmos Semiconductor's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Elmos Semiconductor had debt of €80.0m at the end of March 2023, a reduction from €95.1m over a year. However, it also had €37.8m in cash, and so its net debt is €42.2m.
How Strong Is Elmos Semiconductor's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Elmos Semiconductor had liabilities of €118.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €84.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €37.8m as well as receivables valued at €97.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €67.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, Elmos Semiconductor has a market capitalization of €1.45b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Elmos Semiconductor's net debt is only 0.28 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 56.2 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Elmos Semiconductor has boosted its EBIT by 86%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Elmos Semiconductor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Elmos Semiconductor recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
The good news is that Elmos Semiconductor's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Elmos Semiconductor is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Elmos Semiconductor (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About XTRA:ELG
Elmos Semiconductor
Develops, manufactures, and distributes microelectronic components and system parts, and technological devices for automotive industry in Germany, other European Union countries, the Americas, Asia/Pacific, and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.