Kogan.com Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Kogan.com is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 29.8% and 5.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 33% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 22.6% in 3 years.

Key information

29.8%

Earnings growth rate

33.0%

EPS growth rate

Multiline Retail earnings growth	6.8%
Revenue growth rate	5.9%
Future return on equity	22.6%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	24 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:UZQ - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	557	39	50	55	8
6/30/2026	525	34	44	48	8
6/30/2025	494	28	32	37	8
6/30/2024	460	0	23	28	N/A
3/31/2024	461	3	39	44	N/A
12/31/2023	462	7	56	61	N/A
9/30/2023	476	-10	61	66	N/A
6/30/2023	489	-26	67	71	N/A
3/31/2023	532	-37	62	66	N/A
12/31/2022	575	-47	57	62	N/A
9/30/2022	647	-41	58	62	N/A
6/30/2022	719	-35	59	62	N/A
3/31/2022	752	-34	39	42	N/A
12/31/2021	786	-32	19	23	N/A
9/30/2021	784	-14	-25	-20	N/A
6/30/2021	781	4	-68	-63	N/A
3/31/2021	737	23	-35	-29	N/A
12/31/2020	692	41	-2	5	N/A
9/30/2020	595	34	18	25	N/A
6/30/2020	498	27	37	46	N/A
3/31/2020	462	23	35	42	N/A
12/31/2019	426	19	33	38	N/A
9/30/2019	433	18	15	20	N/A
6/30/2019	439	17	-3	2	N/A
3/31/2019	437	15	-2	4	N/A
12/31/2018	434	13	0	6	N/A
9/30/2018	423	14	10	17	N/A
6/30/2018	412	14	21	28	N/A
3/31/2018	384	12	N/A	21	N/A
12/31/2017	355	11	N/A	14	N/A
9/30/2017	322	7	N/A	13	N/A
6/30/2017	290	4	N/A	11	N/A
3/31/2017	270	2	N/A	6	N/A
12/31/2016	250	1	N/A	1	N/A
9/30/2016	231	1	N/A	6	N/A
6/30/2016	211	1	N/A	11	N/A
3/31/2016	204	0	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2015	197	-1	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2015	199	0	N/A	-1	N/A
6/30/2015	200	0	N/A	-6	N/A
6/30/2014	175	5	N/A	N/A	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UZQ's forecast earnings growth (29.8% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: UZQ's earnings (29.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (20.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UZQ's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: UZQ's revenue (5.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UZQ's revenue (5.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UZQ's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (22.6%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/27 19:56
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Kogan.com Ltd is covered by 11 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Aryan Norozi	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Chamithri Ratnapala	Bell Potter

Kogan.com Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Kogan.com Ltd, Annual General Meeting, Nov 22, 2024

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.001 (vs AU$0.24 loss in FY 2023)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.075 per share

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.001 (vs AU$0.24 loss in FY 2023)

Kogan.com Ltd to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 26, 2024

Insufficient new directors

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 27%

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.075 per share

New minor risk - Earnings quality

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.08 (vs AU$0.22 loss in 1H 2023)

Kogan.com Ltd to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 26, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: AU$0.24 loss per share (vs AU$0.33 loss in FY 2022)

Full year 2023 earnings released: AU$0.24 loss per share (vs AU$0.33 loss in FY 2022)

Kogan.com Ltd, Annual General Meeting, Nov 23, 2023

Kogan.com Ltd to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 22, 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: AU$0.22 loss per share (vs AU$0.11 loss in 1H 2022)

Kogan.com Ltd to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 27, 2023

Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) acquired Brosa Design Pty Ltd for AUD 1.5 million.

CFO, COO & Executive Director recently bought €348k worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings released: AU$0.33 loss per share (vs AU$0.033 profit in FY 2021)

Kogan.com Ltd to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Aug 23, 2022

Kogan.Com Limited Announces the Appointment of Gracie Mackinlay as Chief Executive Officer of Mighty Ape

First half 2022 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Kogan.com Ltd to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Feb 25, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.033 (vs AU$0.28 in FY 2020)

CFO, COO & Executive Director recently sold €7.0m worth of stock

Full year 2021 earnings released

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Revenue beats expectations

Upcoming Dividend of AU$0.16 Per Share

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.22 (vs AU$0.095 in 1H 2020)

New 90-day low: €8.95

Kogan.com Ltd Announces Board Changes

Kogan.com Ltd to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Feb 26, 2021

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) acquired Mighty Ape Limited for an enterprise value of approximately AUD 120 million.

Market pulls back on stock over the past week

New 90-day low: €11.00

Market pulls back on stock over the past week

Market pulls back on stock over the past week

New 90-day high: €13.80

Full year earnings released - EPS €0.29

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought €72k worth of stock

Full year earnings released - EPS €0.26

New 90-day high - €11.60

Kogan.com Ltd to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Aug 17, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Industry and Sector Metrics

Analyst Sources