Super Retail Group Limited

DB:RSU Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.9b

Super Retail Group Valuation

Is RSU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of RSU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: RSU (€8.35) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€23.43)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: RSU is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RSU?

Key metric: As RSU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RSU. This is calculated by dividing RSU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RSU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.9x
EarningsAU$221.80m
Market CapAU$3.31b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RSU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RSU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.3x
FIE Fielmann Group
18.8x13.39%€3.4b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
18.5xn/a€2.2b
HBH HORNBACH Holding KGaA
9.9x6.46%€1.3b
AG1 AUTO1 Group
81.9x32.37%€6.5b
RSU Super Retail Group
14.9x6.25%€3.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RSU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (32.3x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RSU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RSU 14.9xIndustry Avg. 16.9xNo. of Companies21PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RSU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (16.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RSU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RSU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.9x
Fair PE Ratio13.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RSU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RSU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.35
€9.24
+10.69%
9.94%€10.73€7.40n/a15
Jan ’27€8.85
€9.76
+10.28%
13.56%€11.57€6.49n/a15
Dec ’26€9.00
€9.69
+7.72%
13.56%€11.49€6.45n/a15
Nov ’26€8.50
€9.68
+13.87%
13.56%€11.48€6.44n/a15
Oct ’26€8.65
€9.78
+13.05%
14.37%€11.55€6.48n/a14
Sep ’26€9.80
€9.69
-1.15%
14.37%€11.44€6.42n/a14
Aug ’26€7.95
€8.09
+1.77%
13.65%€9.70€6.13n/a14
Jul ’26€7.50
€7.92
+5.64%
12.35%€9.44€6.15n/a14
Jun ’26€8.00
€8.06
+0.80%
11.56%€9.45€6.30n/a14
May ’26€7.10
€8.32
+17.11%
11.98%€10.13€6.19n/a14
Apr ’26€7.45
€8.72
+17.04%
11.16%€10.47€6.40n/a14
Mar ’26€8.42
€8.98
+6.75%
11.48%€10.86€6.63n/a15
Feb ’26€9.29
€9.54
+2.67%
12.39%€11.39€6.59n/a15
Jan ’26€9.16
€9.74
+6.44%
12.57%€11.59€6.71€8.8515
Dec ’25€8.98
€9.90
+10.33%
13.29%€12.21€6.79€9.0015
Nov ’25€8.49
€9.70
+14.34%
13.27%€11.98€6.65€8.5015
Oct ’25€11.14
€10.32
-7.40%
13.23%€12.25€6.74€8.6515
Sep ’25€10.78
€10.15
-5.88%
13.25%€12.14€6.68€9.8016
Aug ’25n/a
€9.10
0%
12.82%€11.45€6.63€7.9516
Jul ’25n/a
€9.24
0%
13.37%€11.79€6.82€7.5015
Jun ’25n/a
€9.03
0%
14.51%€11.64€6.43€8.0015
May ’25n/a
€9.24
0%
13.13%€11.49€6.35€7.1015
Apr ’25n/a
€9.24
0%
13.13%€11.49€6.35€7.4515
Mar ’25n/a
€9.21
0%
13.23%€11.46€6.33€8.4215
Feb ’25n/a
€9.10
0%
15.27%€11.53€6.37€9.2914
Jan ’25n/a
€7.98
0%
13.32%€10.44€6.33€9.1614
€9.18
Fair Value
9.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/22 00:26
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/22 00:00
Earnings2025/06/28
Annual Earnings2025/06/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Super Retail Group Limited is covered by 22 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Peter MarksBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Daniel MorganBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited