Rakuten Group Valuation

Is RAK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RAK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RAK (€5.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€21.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RAK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RAK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

RAK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RAK's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RAK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.1x
ECK LUDWIG BECK am Rathauseck - Textilhaus Feldmeier
1.1xn/a€81.3m
ZAL Zalando
0.5x5.4%€5.5b
FIE Fielmann Group
1.8x6.2%€3.7b
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de
0.9x6.5%Mex$175.9b
RAK Rakuten Group
0.9x7.4%€1.8t

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RAK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RAK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RAK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the European Multiline Retail industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RAK's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RAK PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.9x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RAK is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RAK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.01
€4.95
-1.2%
20.5%€6.91€2.32n/a15
Jun ’25€4.76
€5.00
+5.2%
20.7%€6.99€2.35n/a15
May ’25€4.57
€4.96
+8.4%
21.8%€7.07€2.38n/a15
Apr ’25€5.19
€4.79
-7.6%
25.0%€7.25€2.44n/a16
Mar ’25€5.00
€4.21
-15.7%
21.7%€6.12€2.45n/a16
Feb ’25€3.95
€4.01
+1.5%
20.1%€6.26€2.51n/a16
Jan ’25€3.96
€3.99
+0.6%
19.4%€6.35€2.54n/a16
Dec ’24€3.43
€4.09
+19.4%
27.2%€7.44€2.48n/a17
Nov ’24€3.41
€4.16
+22.2%
27.3%€7.56€2.52n/a17
Oct ’24€3.93
€4.24
+7.9%
30.1%€7.60€2.79n/a16
Sep ’24€3.59
€4.43
+23.5%
30.1%€7.61€2.79n/a17
Aug ’24€3.51
€4.46
+27.2%
30.7%€7.69€2.82n/a17
Jul ’24€3.08
€4.89
+59.0%
26.5%€7.74€2.84n/a15
Jun ’24€3.77
€5.48
+45.5%
43.2%€13.31€2.93€4.7615
May ’24€4.44
€5.80
+30.5%
37.8%€13.32€3.46€4.5717
Apr ’24€4.21
€5.99
+42.3%
38.9%€14.03€3.65€5.1916
Mar ’24€4.59
€6.01
+31.0%
37.7%€13.84€3.60€5.0017
Feb ’24€4.61
€6.19
+34.2%
37.6%€14.13€3.67€3.9517
Jan ’24€4.12
€6.39
+55.1%
37.6%€14.26€3.71€3.9617
Dec ’23€4.56
€6.28
+37.9%
37.3%€13.87€3.61€3.4317
Nov ’23€4.49
€6.33
+41.2%
43.3%€15.64€3.54€3.4117
Oct ’23€4.51
€6.77
+50.3%
43.1%€16.40€3.71€3.9316
Sep ’23€4.68
€6.99
+49.5%
42.8%€16.49€3.73€3.5916
Aug ’23€4.99
€7.64
+53.1%
46.2%€19.28€3.71€3.5116
Jul ’23€4.16
€7.75
+86.4%
43.2%€18.84€3.63€3.0816
Jun ’23€5.30
€9.14
+72.5%
35.1%€19.79€5.72€3.7716

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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