El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V.

DB:PLV1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.6b

El Puerto de Liverpool. de Valuation

Is PLV1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PLV1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PLV1 (€4.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€9.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PLV1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PLV1?

Key metric: As PLV1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PLV1. This is calculated by dividing PLV1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PLV1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.4x
EarningsMex$22.17b
Market CapMex$142.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PLV1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PLV1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average52.1x
ECK LUDWIG BECK am Rathauseck - Textilhaus Feldmeier
124.6xn/a€65.8m
ZAL Zalando
34.6x22.0%€7.1b
FIE Fielmann Group
24.2x18.9%€3.4b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
25xn/a€1.9b
PLV1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de
6.4x5.1%€142.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PLV1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (52.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PLV1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PLV1 6.4xIndustry Avg. 19.6xNo. of Companies21PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PLV1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (19.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PLV1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PLV1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.4x
Fair PE Ratio12.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PLV1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PLV1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.68
€6.68
+42.8%
11.5%€7.92€5.12n/a14
Nov ’25€4.60
€6.55
+42.3%
11.5%€7.76€5.02n/a14
Oct ’25€5.15
€6.57
+27.6%
9.7%€7.73€5.45n/a14
Sep ’25€5.05
€6.64
+31.5%
9.3%€7.81€5.51n/a15
Aug ’25€6.30
€7.18
+14.0%
8.5%€8.19€5.95n/a15
Jul ’25€6.35
€7.37
+16.0%
9.9%€9.00€6.17n/a14
Jun ’25€6.90
€7.76
+12.4%
11.3%€9.59€6.30n/a15
May ’25€7.10
€7.70
+8.4%
11.5%€9.59€6.30n/a14
Apr ’25€7.65
€7.13
-6.8%
8.4%€8.71€6.30n/a16
Mar ’25€6.45
€6.90
+7.1%
8.6%€8.58€6.21n/a16
Feb ’25€6.20
€6.69
+7.9%
10.1%€8.35€5.38n/a16
Jan ’25€5.85
€6.54
+11.7%
10.6%€8.22€5.30n/a16
Dec ’24€5.10
€6.61
+29.6%
10.9%€8.28€5.34n/a15
Nov ’24€4.56
€6.50
+42.6%
11.4%€8.09€5.22€4.6015
Oct ’24€4.72
€6.70
+41.9%
10.9%€8.36€5.39€5.1515
Sep ’24€5.40
€6.70
+24.1%
10.6%€8.36€5.40€5.0516
Aug ’24€5.60
€6.66
+18.9%
10.4%€8.26€5.33€6.3016
Jul ’24€5.50
€6.47
+17.7%
10.6%€8.09€5.22€6.3516
Jun ’24€5.35
€6.47
+21.0%
10.6%€8.09€5.22€6.9016
May ’24€5.25
€6.14
+17.0%
10.2%€7.74€4.99€7.1016
Apr ’24€5.75
€5.80
+0.8%
11.0%€6.72€4.71€7.6516
Mar ’24€5.59
€5.90
+5.6%
12.0%€7.03€4.93€6.4514
Feb ’24€5.70
€5.37
-5.7%
10.2%€6.61€4.63€6.2014
Jan ’24€5.43
€5.37
-1.0%
10.2%€6.61€4.63€5.8514
Dec ’23€5.43
€5.56
+2.5%
10.8%€6.82€4.78€5.1015
Nov ’23€5.03
€5.61
+11.5%
12.1%€7.06€4.68€4.5616

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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