LKQ Corporation

DB:LKQ1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €9.3b

LKQ Valuation

Is LKQ1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LKQ1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LKQ1 (€35.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€84.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LKQ1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LKQ1?

Key metric: As LKQ1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LKQ1. This is calculated by dividing LKQ1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LKQ1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.1x
EarningsUS$718.00m
Market CapUS$9.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LKQ1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LKQ1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.9x
MDN Medion
32.5xn/a€647.9m
ZAL Zalando
40.5x19.8%€8.3b
FIE Fielmann Group
24.9x18.9%€3.5b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
25.8xn/a€1.9b
LKQ1 LKQ
13.1x14.0%€9.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LKQ1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (30.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LKQ1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LKQ1 13.1xIndustry Avg. 13.2xNo. of Companies4PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LKQ1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the European Retail Distributors industry average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LKQ1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LKQ1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio14.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LKQ1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LKQ1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€35.60
€49.72
+39.7%
11.1%€57.21€41.29n/a9
Dec ’25€37.20
€48.01
+29.1%
11.1%€55.25€39.87n/a9
Nov ’25€34.00
€48.01
+41.2%
11.1%€55.25€39.87n/a9
Oct ’25€35.60
€49.51
+39.1%
6.9%€54.21€45.18n/a9
Sep ’25€37.60
€48.87
+30.0%
6.9%€53.61€44.68n/a9
Aug ’25€38.40
€50.22
+30.8%
7.1%€55.26€46.05n/a9
Jul ’25€38.60
€54.91
+42.3%
8.2%€61.61€49.66n/a9
Jun ’25€38.60
€55.43
+43.6%
8.0%€61.53€49.13n/a8
May ’25€40.60
€55.71
+37.2%
7.6%€61.67€49.24n/a9
Apr ’25€49.20
€56.59
+15.0%
7.8%€62.75€47.06n/a9
Mar ’25€47.60
€55.98
+17.6%
8.5%€62.75€47.06n/a9
Feb ’25€43.20
€55.73
+29.0%
9.3%€62.74€45.21n/a10
Jan ’25€43.20
€55.89
+29.4%
9.4%€62.71€45.19€35.2010
Dec ’24€40.60
€55.89
+37.6%
9.4%€62.71€45.19€37.2010
Nov ’24€41.00
€58.39
+42.4%
9.1%€64.36€46.37€34.0010
Oct ’24€46.80
€60.18
+28.6%
10.2%€66.56€42.98€35.6010
Sep ’24€48.40
€60.18
+24.3%
10.2%€66.56€42.98€37.6010
Aug ’24€50.00
€58.73
+17.5%
10.4%€65.31€42.18€38.4010
Jul ’24€53.00
€59.20
+11.7%
10.0%€64.41€42.78€38.6010
Jun ’24€48.40
€58.47
+20.8%
9.9%€63.53€42.20€38.6010
May ’24€52.00
€58.47
+12.4%
9.9%€63.53€42.20€40.6010
Apr ’24€51.00
€60.36
+18.4%
9.8%€65.79€43.70€49.2010
Mar ’24€53.50
€60.11
+12.4%
10.8%€66.16€43.95€47.6010
Feb ’24€53.00
€57.35
+8.2%
10.8%€61.90€41.42€43.2010
Jan ’24€50.50
€63.77
+26.3%
10.7%€68.83€46.06€43.2011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 10:20
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

LKQ Corporation is covered by 33 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Craig KennisonBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Gary PrestopinoBarrington Research Associates, Inc.