Halfords Group plc

DB:HDK Stock Report

Market Cap: €358.4m

Halfords Group Valuation

Is HDK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of HDK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Fair Value: HDK (€1.69) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HDK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HDK?

Key metric: As HDK is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for HDK. This is calculated by dividing HDK's market cap by their current revenue.
What is HDK's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUK£1.74b
Market CapUK£310.69m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does HDK's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for HDK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
DEX Delticom
0.07x2.85%€34.0m
AG1 AUTO1 Group
0.8x10.71%€6.8b
WEW Westwing Group
0.5x7.72%€221.3m
BIKE Bike24 Holding
0.5x10.62%€133.4m
HDK Halfords Group
0.2x2.11%€310.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: HDK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does HDK's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Specialty Retail Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CEC Ceconomy
0.09x1.29%US$2.53b
GFG Global Fashion Group
0.09x1.32%US$77.43m
DEX Delticom
0.07x2.85%US$39.61m
49S Superdry
0.004x-1.35%US$3.12m
No more companies available in this PS range
HDK 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies4PS00.40.81.21.62+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: HDK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HDK's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HDK PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: HDK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HDK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.69
€2.12
+25.41%
9.25%€2.31€1.80n/a6
Jan ’27€1.55
€2.09
+35.03%
9.25%€2.28€1.78n/a6
Dec ’26€1.56
€2.10
+34.37%
8.64%€2.28€1.82n/a6
Nov ’26€1.66
€2.12
+27.68%
10.45%€2.30€1.78n/a6
Oct ’26€1.60
€2.13
+33.13%
10.45%€2.31€1.79n/a6
Sep ’26€1.56
€2.13
+36.55%
10.45%€2.31€1.79n/a6
Aug ’26€1.62
€2.12
+30.91%
10.45%€2.30€1.78n/a6
Jul ’26€1.78
€2.04
+14.47%
12.92%€2.33€1.68n/a6
Jun ’26€1.96
€1.97
+0.31%
13.76%€2.35€1.69n/a6
May ’26€1.78
€1.96
+9.99%
13.76%€2.34€1.69n/a6
Apr ’26€1.57
€1.94
+23.78%
14.39%€2.39€1.70n/a6
Mar ’26€1.46
€1.94
+33.11%
14.39%€2.39€1.70n/a6
Feb ’26€1.67
€1.94
+16.37%
14.39%€2.39€1.70n/a6
Jan ’26€1.58
€1.84
+16.71%
22.50%€2.40€1.20€1.556
Dec ’25€1.74
€1.84
+5.98%
22.50%€2.40€1.20€1.566
Nov ’25€1.96
€2.05
+4.64%
31.33%€3.30€1.20€1.666
Oct ’25€1.78
€2.00
+12.11%
32.27%€3.26€1.18€1.606
Sep ’25€1.63
€2.11
+29.23%
31.16%€3.25€1.18€1.567
Aug ’25€1.80
€2.11
+17.02%
31.16%€3.25€1.18€1.627
Jul ’25€1.63
€2.16
+32.44%
31.75%€3.24€1.18€1.786
Jun ’25€1.76
€2.18
+24.07%
26.80%€2.79€1.17€1.967
May ’25€1.70
€2.18
+28.45%
26.80%€2.79€1.17€1.787
Apr ’25€1.78
€2.18
+22.40%
26.80%€2.79€1.17€1.577
Mar ’25€1.73
€2.27
+31.43%
23.79%€2.78€1.17€1.467
Feb ’25€2.00
€2.48
+23.96%
19.46%€3.22€1.76€1.676
Jan ’25€2.22
€2.51
+12.91%
17.04%€3.21€1.98€1.586
€2.17
Fair Value
22.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/13 19:54
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/13 00:00
Earnings2025/09/26
Annual Earnings2025/03/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Halfords Group plc is covered by 25 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christodoulos ChaviarasBarclays
Joseph BarronBerenberg
Simon BowlerBNP Paribas