Fast Retailing Co., Ltd.

DB:FR7 Stock Report

Market Cap: €99.2b

Fast Retailing Valuation

Is FR7 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FR7 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FR7 (€321.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€108.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FR7 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FR7?

Key metric: As FR7 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FR7. This is calculated by dividing FR7's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FR7's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.5x
EarningsJP¥372.00b
Market CapJP¥16.19t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FR7's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FR7 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30x
ZAL Zalando
41.5x21.6%€8.5b
TJX TJX Companies
28.2x7.5%US$136.2b
ITX Industria de Diseño Textil
27.2x8.0%€155.9b
ROST Ross Stores
23.3x7.8%US$48.8b
FR7 Fast Retailing
43.5x8.8%€16.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FR7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the peer average (30x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FR7's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FR7 43.5xIndustry Avg. 15.5xNo. of Companies11PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FR7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (15.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FR7's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FR7 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.5x
Fair PE Ratio19x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FR7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FR7 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€321.30
€336.82
+4.8%
8.4%€405.45€286.94n/a16
Dec ’25€318.10
€329.05
+3.4%
10.0%€407.17€281.89n/a16
Nov ’25€298.60
€313.97
+5.1%
11.1%€395.37€249.39n/a15
Oct ’25€299.80
€297.17
-0.9%
8.8%€343.68€256.20n/a15
Sep ’25€286.70
€285.56
-0.4%
6.7%€317.22€254.02n/a15
Aug ’25€249.90
€272.87
+9.2%
8.2%€306.68€239.59n/a15
Jul ’25€230.40
€259.65
+12.7%
6.5%€286.49€232.92n/a15
Jun ’25€233.30
€261.51
+12.1%
6.8%€288.27€234.37n/a14
May ’25€245.20
€267.46
+9.1%
7.7%€296.03€228.64n/a13
Apr ’25€282.00
€257.04
-8.8%
7.3%€287.23€232.23n/a12
Mar ’25€270.00
€242.45
-10.2%
6.6%€281.34€213.09n/a12
Feb ’25€242.00
€242.95
+0.4%
7.2%€287.30€217.60n/a12
Jan ’25€222.00
€244.03
+9.9%
5.4%€269.90€224.68n/a12
Dec ’24€230.00
€235.81
+2.5%
6.4%€264.46€209.72€318.1013
Nov ’24€208.00
€235.81
+13.4%
6.4%€264.46€209.72€298.6013
Oct ’24€204.00
€230.74
+13.1%
6.9%€252.45€203.01€299.8011
Sep ’24€210.00
€228.28
+8.7%
7.2%€252.04€201.63€286.7013
Aug ’24€228.00
€231.24
+1.4%
7.4%€255.68€204.55€249.9013
Jul ’24€230.00
€223.18
-3.0%
7.5%€249.03€197.94€230.4013
Jun ’24€218.00
€219.85
+0.8%
6.3%€246.97€200.25€233.3013
May ’24€212.00
€215.71
+1.8%
6.9%€246.46€188.73€245.2013
Apr ’24€197.00
€213.92
+8.6%
6.8%€232.68€184.81€282.0013
Mar ’24€186.00
€203.83
+9.6%
8.8%€225.44€165.29€270.0013
Feb ’24€183.33
€209.20
+14.1%
8.8%€231.38€169.65€242.0013
Jan ’24€188.33
€208.46
+10.7%
8.5%€233.49€180.32€222.0013
Dec ’23€191.67
€201.58
+5.2%
9.4%€229.11€172.40€230.0013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 04:55
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/08/31
Annual Earnings2024/08/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Fast Retailing Co., Ltd. is covered by 42 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Maki ShinozakiBarclays
James MoonBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Arashi NishizawaBofA Global Research