B&M European Value Retail S.A.

DB:BMN Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.2b

B&M European Value Retail Valuation

Is BMN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BMN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BMN (€4.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€9.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BMN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BMN?

Key metric: As BMN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BMN. This is calculated by dividing BMN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BMN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.7x
EarningsUK£326.00m
Market CapUK£3.48b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BMN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BMN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average51.6x
ECK LUDWIG BECK am Rathauseck - Textilhaus Feldmeier
120.4xn/a€63.9m
FIE Fielmann Group
23.8x18.9%€3.4b
ZAL Zalando
37.5x21.9%€7.6b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
24.8xn/a€1.8b
BMN B&M European Value Retail
10.7x11.1%€3.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BMN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the peer average (51.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BMN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BMN 10.7xIndustry Avg. 19.8xNo. of Companies20PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BMN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (19.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BMN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BMN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.7x
Fair PE Ratio13.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BMN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BMN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.44
€6.80
+53.2%
15.4%€8.24€4.31n/a17
Nov ’25€4.48
€6.99
+56.0%
13.6%€8.36€5.17n/a17
Oct ’25€5.05
€6.96
+37.8%
15.3%€8.41€4.68n/a18
Sep ’25€5.25
€6.99
+33.1%
13.2%€8.32€5.15n/a18
Aug ’25€5.50
€6.99
+27.0%
13.2%€8.32€5.15n/a18
Jul ’25€5.15
€7.00
+35.9%
14.3%€8.48€5.10n/a18
Jun ’25€6.40
€7.32
+14.3%
9.1%€8.38€6.05n/a18
May ’25€6.05
€7.33
+21.2%
9.3%€8.41€6.08n/a18
Apr ’25€6.30
€7.27
+15.5%
12.8%€8.36€4.44n/a18
Mar ’25€6.15
€7.27
+18.3%
12.8%€8.36€4.44n/a18
Feb ’25€6.05
€7.30
+20.6%
12.7%€8.37€4.45n/a18
Jan ’25€6.45
€7.25
+12.3%
12.8%€8.27€4.42n/a18
Dec ’24€6.60
€7.22
+9.4%
12.8%€8.23€4.41n/a18
Nov ’24€6.05
€6.92
+14.4%
14.0%€8.26€4.36€4.4816
Oct ’24€6.65
€6.87
+3.4%
16.7%€8.34€4.17€5.0518
Sep ’24n/a
€6.79
0%
15.4%€7.96€4.18€5.2519
Aug ’24n/a
€6.76
0%
15.0%€7.97€4.19€5.5019
Jul ’24n/a
€6.75
0%
15.0%€7.97€4.19€5.1519
Jun ’24n/a
€6.00
0%
18.0%€7.98€3.84€6.4019
May ’24n/a
€5.73
0%
17.2%€7.79€3.75€6.0518
Apr ’24n/a
€5.73
0%
17.2%€7.79€3.75€6.3018
Mar ’24n/a
€5.64
0%
17.5%€7.77€3.74€6.1519
Feb ’24n/a
€5.40
0%
16.2%€7.77€3.74€6.0519
Jan ’24n/a
€5.19
0%
18.7%€7.99€3.50€6.4519
Dec ’23n/a
€5.05
0%
18.1%€7.90€3.46€6.6019
Nov ’23n/a
€4.96
0%
19.5%€7.86€3.44€6.0518

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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