AO World Valuation

Is 81A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 81A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 81A (€1.18) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 81A is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 81A?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

81A key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.9x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 81A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 81A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.5x
HBH HORNBACH Holding KGaA
11.7x14.3%€1.2b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
31.2xn/a€1.6b
DOU Douglas
80.9x29.7%€2.3b
FIE Fielmann Group
30x14.2%€3.9b
81A AO World
23.2x12.3%€620.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 81A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the peer average (38.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 81A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 81A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 81A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

81A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.2x
Fair PE Ratio17.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 81A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 81A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.18
€1.27
+7.2%
17.2%€1.46€0.88n/a5
Apr ’25€1.10
€1.09
-0.7%
26.1%€1.46€0.61n/a5
Mar ’25€1.05
€1.05
-0.3%
22.5%€1.23€0.61n/a5
Feb ’25€0.99
€1.03
+3.9%
23.1%€1.22€0.60n/a5
Jan ’25€1.11
€1.02
-8.8%
23.1%€1.21€0.60n/a5
Dec ’24€1.02
€1.02
-0.4%
23.1%€1.21€0.60n/a5
Nov ’24€0.95
€0.99
+4.5%
21.8%€1.15€0.60n/a5
Oct ’24€0.94
€0.97
+3.7%
21.8%€1.16€0.61n/a6
Sep ’24€1.04
€1.06
+2.5%
27.1%€1.58€0.61n/a7
Aug ’24€1.03
€1.06
+3.3%
27.1%€1.58€0.61n/a7
Jul ’24€0.88
€1.00
+13.3%
28.9%€1.57€0.60n/a7
Jun ’24€0.74
€0.81
+9.2%
25.4%€1.13€0.56n/a6
May ’24€0.84
€0.81
-3.7%
25.4%€1.13€0.56€1.196
Apr ’24€0.70
€0.80
+14.9%
24.9%€1.13€0.57€1.106
Mar ’24€0.72
€0.80
+11.2%
24.9%€1.13€0.56€1.056
Feb ’24€0.67
€0.79
+19.4%
22.6%€1.02€0.57€0.996
Jan ’24€0.56
€0.74
+31.8%
17.9%€0.93€0.58€1.116
Dec ’23€0.69
€0.74
+7.9%
17.9%€0.93€0.58€1.026
Nov ’23€0.52
€0.59
+15.5%
30.2%€0.81€0.36€0.957
Oct ’23€0.46
€0.63
+36.6%
24.0%€0.83€0.41€0.946
Sep ’23€0.51
€0.63
+25.0%
24.0%€0.83€0.41€1.046
Aug ’23€0.50
€0.88
+76.9%
42.7%€1.54€0.47€1.036
Jul ’23€0.76
€1.01
+32.8%
26.6%€1.52€0.69€0.886
Jun ’23€0.89
€1.12
+25.3%
28.7%€1.55€0.75€0.746
May ’23€0.99
€1.20
+21.4%
23.0%€1.55€0.83€0.846

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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