Pop Mart International Group Limited

DB:735 Stock Report

Market Cap: €14.2b

Pop Mart International Group Valuation

Is 735 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 735 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€6.38
Fair Value
66.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 735 (€10.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€6.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 735 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 735?

Key metric: As 735 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 735. This is calculated by dividing 735's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 735's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio69.8x
EarningsCN¥1.53b
Market CapCN¥106.53b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 735's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 735 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.1x
FIE Fielmann Group
24.8x18.9%€3.5b
DOU Douglas
25.7x21.4%€2.2b
ZAL Zalando
36x20.0%€7.4b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
26xn/a€1.9b
735 Pop Mart International Group
69.8x35.8%€113.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 735 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (69.8x) compared to the peer average (28.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 735's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
735 69.8xIndustry Avg. 16.8xNo. of Companies11PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 735 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (69.8x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 735's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

735 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio69.8x
Fair PE Ratio26.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 735 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (69.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 735 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.60
€11.90
+12.3%
19.9%€14.92€6.13n/a14
Jan ’26€10.40
€11.35
+9.1%
20.3%€14.84€6.10n/a14
Dec ’25€10.70
€10.11
-5.5%
17.5%€13.27€6.08n/a14
Nov ’25€8.25
€9.18
+11.3%
12.0%€10.50€5.99n/a14
Oct ’25€6.00
€6.24
+3.9%
6.3%€7.05€5.63n/a13
Sep ’25€5.15
€6.18
+19.9%
8.5%€7.06€4.91n/a13
Aug ’25€4.62
€5.12
+10.8%
16.2%€6.15€3.53n/a14
Jul ’25€4.44
€4.30
-3.1%
19.6%€5.70€3.08n/a14
Jun ’25€4.26
€4.19
-1.7%
18.2%€5.67€3.06n/a14
May ’25€3.94
€3.92
-0.4%
13.5%€4.77€3.09n/a15
Apr ’25€3.32
€3.56
+7.1%
14.6%€4.50€2.24n/a15
Mar ’25€2.44
€3.23
+32.2%
14.5%€3.84€2.34n/a13
Feb ’25€2.08
€3.21
+54.5%
14.5%€3.82€2.33n/a13
Jan ’25n/a
€3.26
0%
13.9%€3.82€2.33€10.4013
Dec ’24n/a
€3.29
0%
14.2%€3.84€2.38€10.7012
Nov ’24n/a
€3.32
0%
14.3%€3.88€2.40€8.2512
Oct ’24n/a
€3.26
0%
15.4%€3.87€2.42€6.0011
Sep ’24€2.90
€3.04
+5.0%
14.1%€3.78€2.36€5.1512
Aug ’24€2.48
€2.71
+9.4%
12.1%€3.50€2.33€4.6211
Jul ’24€2.00
€2.69
+34.6%
13.2%€3.51€2.24€4.4411
Jun ’24€2.04
€2.77
+36.0%
12.1%€3.47€2.32€4.2611
May ’24€2.16
€2.78
+28.8%
12.0%€3.49€2.33€3.9411
Apr ’24€2.44
€3.06
+25.5%
29.9%€5.61€2.34€3.3210
Mar ’24€2.82
€3.18
+12.8%
34.9%€5.74€1.65€2.4410
Feb ’24€2.90
€3.05
+5.1%
39.8%€5.75€1.55€2.0810
Jan ’24€2.32
€2.97
+27.9%
40.1%€5.70€1.53n/a10
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
€11.80
Fair Value
10.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 05:16
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Pop Mart International Group Limited is covered by 30 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Penny PengBOCI Research Ltd.
Rena MaBOCI Research Ltd.
Bairu ChenChina Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd.