Five Below, Inc.

DB:6F1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €8.8b

Five Below Valuation

Is 6F1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6F1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6F1 (€158.75) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€70.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6F1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6F1?

Key metric: As 6F1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6F1. This is calculated by dividing 6F1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6F1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio33.8x
EarningsUS$307.87m
Market CapUS$10.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6F1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6F1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.2x
FIE Fielmann Group
19.7x13.39%€3.6b
ZAL Zalando
26.5x24.33%€6.4b
AG1 AUTO1 Group
75.4x31.42%€6.0b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
19xn/a€2.2b
6F1 Five Below
33.8x9.51%€10.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6F1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the peer average (35.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6F1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6F1 33.8xIndustry Avg. 17.8xNo. of Companies17PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6F1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6F1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6F1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.8x
Fair PE Ratio15.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6F1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6F1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€158.75
€157.97
-0.49%
16.25%€190.85€76.34n/a21
Dec ’26€138.60
€140.94
+1.69%
15.85%€175.73€77.53n/a21
Nov ’26€135.30
€138.86
+2.63%
15.33%€163.00€77.21n/a21
Oct ’26€131.65
€135.50
+2.92%
14.80%€159.36€76.70n/a21
Sep ’26€123.10
€134.47
+9.23%
15.21%€158.34€77.03n/a19
Aug ’26€114.40
€118.07
+3.21%
14.72%€140.05€78.78n/a19
Jul ’26€112.70
€111.34
-1.20%
14.69%€135.71€76.34n/a20
Jun ’26€102.10
€94.64
-7.31%
20.51%€141.73€69.09n/a19
May ’26€66.72
€85.91
+28.77%
19.36%€122.23€50.48n/a20
Apr ’26€70.54
€92.64
+31.33%
15.91%€127.91€69.52n/a20
Mar ’26€83.52
€115.04
+37.74%
13.84%€143.33€84.08n/a20
Feb ’26€90.12
€118.91
+31.95%
13.27%€145.97€85.63n/a20
Jan ’26€103.30
€116.27
+12.55%
13.26%€142.02€83.32n/a20
Dec ’25€86.98
€94.71
+8.89%
14.53%€119.10€71.46€138.6020
Nov ’25€87.84
€92.96
+5.83%
11.94%€115.60€73.06€135.3021
Oct ’25€80.52
€88.75
+10.22%
11.04%€111.84€70.68€131.6521
Sep ’25€67.84
€88.08
+29.83%
12.34%€112.86€71.33€123.1020
Aug ’25€64.36
€96.27
+49.58%
15.84%€129.35€72.99€114.4020
Jul ’25€99.66
€147.80
+48.31%
17.31%€208.49€112.12€112.7021
Jun ’25€126.20
€187.18
+48.32%
10.70%€225.84€153.02€102.1021
May ’25€136.75
€196.48
+43.68%
8.11%€228.88€158.81€66.7222
Apr ’25€166.80
€197.43
+18.36%
6.86%€227.04€166.81€70.5422
Mar ’25€184.85
€205.91
+11.39%
7.53%€250.64€176.38€83.5221
Feb ’25€166.90
€204.14
+22.31%
7.57%€249.02€175.24€90.1221
Jan ’25€191.90
€200.65
+4.56%
5.34%€218.64€173.09€103.3020
Dec ’24€183.40
€201.68
+9.97%
5.13%€220.51€174.57€86.9820
€156.7
Fair Value
1.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
21
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/25 16:38
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/23 00:00
Earnings2025/11/01
Annual Earnings2025/02/01

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Five Below, Inc. is covered by 40 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Meredith AdlerBarclays
Seth SigmanBarclays
Brian McNamaraBerenberg