Victorian Plumbing Group plc

DB:637 Stock Report

Market Cap: €372.3m

Victorian Plumbing Group Valuation

Is 637 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 637 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 637 (€1.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 637 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 637?

Key metric: As 637 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 637. This is calculated by dividing 637's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 637's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.5x
EarningsUK£12.10m
Market CapUK£308.76m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 637's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 637 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.5x
HBH HORNBACH Holding KGaA
7.1x8.3%€1.1b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
26xn/a€1.9b
CEC Ceconomy
16.5x35.8%€1.3b
MDN Medion
32.2xn/a€647.9m
637 Victorian Plumbing Group
25.5x26.8%€308.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 637 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x) compared to the peer average (20.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 637's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
637 25.5xIndustry Avg. 15.8xNo. of Companies12PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 637 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (15.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 637's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

637 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.5x
Fair PE Ratio11.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 637 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 637 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.13
€1.49
+31.5%
7.7%€1.70€1.33n/a7
Dec ’25€1.31
€1.47
+12.6%
7.7%€1.69€1.32n/a7
Nov ’25€1.29
€1.43
+11.2%
5.6%€1.58€1.32n/a6
Oct ’25€1.21
€1.37
+13.6%
7.3%€1.55€1.23n/a6
Sep ’25€1.14
€1.37
+20.6%
7.3%€1.55€1.23n/a6
Aug ’25€1.07
€1.37
+28.5%
7.3%€1.55€1.23n/a6
Jul ’25€1.05
€1.37
+30.9%
7.3%€1.55€1.23n/a6
Jun ’25€1.07
€1.37
+28.5%
7.3%€1.55€1.23n/a6
May ’25€0.85
€1.28
+49.7%
11.8%€1.54€1.11n/a6
Apr ’25€0.87
€1.28
+47.2%
11.8%€1.54€1.11n/a6
Mar ’25€0.93
€1.28
+37.7%
11.8%€1.54€1.11n/a6
Feb ’25€0.98
€1.29
+31.0%
11.0%€1.54€1.17n/a6
Jan ’25€1.03
€1.28
+23.8%
11.0%€1.53€1.16n/a6
Dec ’24€0.98
€1.28
+29.5%
11.0%€1.53€1.16€1.316
Nov ’24€0.82
€1.28
+55.5%
11.0%€1.53€1.16€1.296
Oct ’24€0.98
€1.29
+31.0%
11.0%€1.54€1.17€1.216
Sep ’24€0.91
€1.29
+42.5%
11.0%€1.54€1.17€1.146
Aug ’24€0.86
€1.29
+49.1%
11.0%€1.54€1.17€1.076
Jul ’24€0.74
€1.29
+74.3%
11.0%€1.54€1.17€1.056
Jun ’24€0.87
€1.27
+46.2%
12.0%€1.52€1.15€1.075
May ’24€0.80
€1.15
+44.3%
9.1%€1.35€1.04€0.855
Apr ’24€0.88
€1.15
+31.2%
9.1%€1.35€1.04€0.875
Mar ’24€0.90
€1.11
+23.8%
13.3%€1.36€0.91€0.935
Feb ’24€0.98
€0.99
+0.9%
11.3%€1.15€0.86€0.984
Jan ’24€0.81
€0.99
+23.5%
11.3%€1.15€0.86€1.034
Dec ’23€0.66
€0.83
+25.4%
17.0%€1.06€0.69€0.984

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 00:52
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/03/31
Annual Earnings2023/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Victorian Plumbing Group plc is covered by 7 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard TaylorBarclays
Thomas DaviesBerenberg
Karl BurnsCanaccord Genuity