AutoCanada Inc.

DB:31K Stock Report

Market Cap: €294.0m

AutoCanada Valuation

Is 31K undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 31K when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 31K (€12.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€64.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 31K is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 31K?

Key metric: As 31K is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 31K. This is calculated by dividing 31K's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 31K's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.07x
SalesCA$6.13b
Market CapCA$434.99m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 31K's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 31K vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
AG1 AUTO1 Group
0.4x8.1%€2.2b
DEX Delticom
0.07x2.7%€33.8m
H24 home24
0.4x4.6%€252.2m
H24 home24
0.4xn/a€251.8m
31K AutoCanada
0.07x2.5%€435.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 31K is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 31K's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.4x5.8%
31K AutoCanada
 0.07x2.5%US$311.51m
CEC Ceconomy
0.06x1.1%US$1.53b
GFG Global Fashion Group
0.07x-0.5%US$57.07m
31K 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies5PS00.40.81.21.62+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.4x38.0%
31K AutoCanada
 0.07x96.5%US$311.51m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 31K is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 31K's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

31K PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.07x
Fair PS Ratio0.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 31K is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 31K forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.30
€12.73
+3.5%
16.2%€16.86€10.11n/a8
Nov ’25€9.50
€12.38
+30.3%
13.2%€15.07€10.00n/a9
Oct ’25€10.40
€12.44
+19.6%
13.2%€14.96€9.93n/a9
Sep ’25€9.70
€12.44
+28.2%
13.2%€14.96€9.93n/a9
Aug ’25€12.50
€14.67
+17.3%
14.5%€19.23€12.15n/a9
Jul ’25€12.70
€14.67
+15.5%
14.5%€19.23€12.15n/a9
Jun ’25€13.10
€14.67
+12.0%
14.5%€19.23€12.15n/a9
May ’25€16.10
€19.83
+23.1%
42.6%€42.31€13.65n/a9
Apr ’25€18.10
€19.49
+7.7%
43.6%€42.06€13.57n/a9
Mar ’25€14.20
€20.27
+42.7%
40.4%€42.20€14.97n/a9
Feb ’25€14.40
€20.48
+42.2%
40.0%€42.48€15.07n/a9
Jan ’25€15.40
€20.17
+31.0%
40.3%€42.35€15.03n/a9
Dec ’24€12.10
€19.84
+64.0%
41.0%€41.97€14.89n/a9
Nov ’24€15.60
€21.45
+37.5%
43.7%€47.65€14.98€9.5010
Oct ’24€16.50
€21.45
+30.0%
43.7%€47.65€14.98€10.4010
Sep ’24€17.90
€21.45
+19.8%
43.7%€47.65€14.98€9.7010
Aug ’24€15.00
€18.02
+20.1%
50.4%€44.46€12.31€12.5010
Jul ’24€13.10
€18.02
+37.6%
50.4%€44.46€12.31€12.7010
Jun ’24€11.70
€18.02
+54.0%
50.4%€44.46€12.31€13.1010
May ’24€13.30
€23.60
+77.5%
46.2%€53.48€16.71€16.109
Apr ’24€12.60
€24.41
+93.7%
43.6%€53.79€17.48€18.109
Mar ’24€19.70
€27.29
+38.5%
38.7%€55.06€18.58€14.209
Feb ’24€18.10
€27.11
+49.8%
40.1%€55.31€16.59€14.409
Jan ’24€15.70
€27.97
+78.1%
45.9%€62.26€16.60€15.409
Dec ’23€19.10
€30.72
+60.8%
42.0%€64.65€20.11€12.109
Nov ’23€16.10
€33.95
+110.8%
38.9%€66.87€18.58€15.609

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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