Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.

DB:1FD Stock Report

Market Cap: €10.5b

Floor & Decor Holdings Valuation

Is 1FD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1FD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1FD (€98) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€187.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1FD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1FD?

Key metric: As 1FD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1FD. This is calculated by dividing 1FD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1FD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio56.4x
EarningsUS$195.47m
Market CapUS$11.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1FD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1FD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.8x
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
25xn/a€1.9b
HBH HORNBACH Holding KGaA
7.5x6.8%€1.3b
ZAL Zalando
34.6x22.0%€7.1b
FIE Fielmann Group
24.2x18.9%€3.4b
1FD Floor & Decor Holdings
56.2x17.6%€11.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1FD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (56.2x) compared to the peer average (22.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1FD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1FD 56.4xIndustry Avg. 16.4xNo. of Companies12PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1FD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (56.2x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (16.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1FD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1FD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio56.4x
Fair PE Ratio16.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1FD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (56.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1FD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€98.00
€98.97
+1.0%
16.0%€128.41€60.88n/a25
Nov ’25€94.50
€95.82
+1.4%
16.2%€124.12€58.84n/a25
Oct ’25€111.00
€91.26
-17.8%
16.5%€121.24€59.27n/a25
Sep ’25€101.00
€89.33
-11.6%
12.7%€104.95€60.23n/a24
Aug ’25€86.50
€96.87
+12.0%
15.2%€123.03€63.83n/a24
Jul ’25€92.00
€102.07
+10.9%
15.5%€123.86€64.26n/a24
Jun ’25€105.00
€101.65
-3.2%
15.4%€122.47€63.54n/a24
May ’25€103.00
€106.32
+3.2%
15.2%€131.43€68.53n/a25
Apr ’25€119.80
€103.84
-13.3%
16.0%€129.16€67.35n/a24
Mar ’25€111.80
€101.63
-9.1%
15.6%€124.90€67.54n/a23
Feb ’25€95.60
€87.42
-8.6%
19.2%€119.90€60.87n/a23
Jan ’25€102.20
€79.89
-21.8%
18.7%€104.77€60.13n/a23
Dec ’24€83.60
€76.02
-9.1%
13.3%€93.52€60.52n/a23
Nov ’24€78.10
€92.37
+18.3%
14.2%€113.97€68.76€94.5023
Oct ’24€85.60
€102.24
+19.4%
11.2%€121.80€77.42€111.0023
Sep ’24€92.40
€98.12
+6.2%
11.4%€117.84€74.91€101.0022
Aug ’24€104.00
€93.12
-10.5%
13.2%€113.39€74.38€86.5023
Jul ’24€95.20
€90.93
-4.5%
12.6%€110.17€73.45€92.0023
Jun ’24€85.80
€89.92
+4.8%
12.7%€110.52€72.76€105.0022
May ’24€89.70
€88.55
-1.3%
12.9%€108.90€66.25€103.0021
Apr ’24€90.01
€89.69
-0.4%
12.7%€110.63€67.30€119.8021
Mar ’24€82.69
€91.60
+10.8%
12.8%€113.75€69.20€111.8022
Feb ’24€86.20
€80.32
-6.8%
15.9%€101.95€59.17€95.6021
Jan ’24€64.65
€81.35
+25.8%
16.0%€105.48€61.22€102.2021
Dec ’23€70.33
€81.57
+16.0%
14.8%€105.75€62.49€83.6019
Nov ’23€73.25
€94.31
+28.8%
10.1%€111.36€73.91€78.1019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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