Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.

DB:1FD Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.3b

Floor & Decor Holdings Valuation

Is 1FD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1FD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1FD (€40) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (€26.81)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1FD is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1FD?

Key metric: As 1FD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1FD. This is calculated by dividing 1FD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1FD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.1x
EarningsUS$232.17m
Market CapUS$4.90b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1FD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1FD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.7x
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
18.4xn/a€2.0b
HBH HORNBACH Holding KGaA
10.2x4.95%€1.3b
ZAL Zalando
54.6x34.15%€5.2b
AG1 AUTO1 Group
51.6x38.30%€4.2b
1FD Floor & Decor Holdings
21.1x2.37%€4.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1FD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the peer average (33.7x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1FD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1FD 21.1xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies12PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1FD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (14.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1FD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1FD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.1x
Fair PE Ratio11.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1FD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1FD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€40.00
€50.18
+25.44%
15.58%€64.23€32.54n/a22
Sep ’27€43.00
€50.18
+16.69%
15.58%€64.23€32.54n/a22
Aug ’27€50.00
€50.40
+0.80%
16.40%€65.02€32.94n/a22
Jul ’27€51.50
€47.19
-8.38%
18.09%€65.65€32.39n/a22
Jun ’27€43.40
€46.31
+6.70%
18.09%€64.43€31.78n/a22
May ’27€40.60
€46.54
+14.64%
19.12%€64.00€31.57n/a22
Apr ’27€42.20
€65.01
+54.05%
14.56%€78.53€48.87n/a22
Mar ’27€58.00
€64.16
+10.62%
13.10%€76.35€47.50n/a22
Feb ’27€55.00
€64.20
+16.73%
13.57%€76.30€48.11n/a22
Jan ’27€52.00
€66.39
+27.67%
13.61%€78.58€49.54n/a22
Dec ’26€56.00
€67.27
+20.12%
14.55%€85.94€49.85n/a22
Nov ’26€54.00
€68.45
+26.77%
13.88%€86.75€50.32n/a22
Oct ’26€62.00
€70.20
+13.22%
11.68%€84.62€50.77n/a22
Sep ’26€69.00
€71.84
+4.12%
11.60%€85.90€51.54€43.0022
Aug ’26€68.00
€71.93
+5.77%
11.76%€86.36€51.82€50.0021
Jul ’26€69.00
€71.00
+2.89%
13.86%€89.15€50.09€51.5023
Jun ’26€63.00
€75.77
+20.28%
14.12%€93.83€52.72€43.4023
May ’26€62.50
€85.85
+37.37%
15.07%€101.86€58.46€40.6025
Apr ’26€73.50
€96.78
+31.67%
13.26%€115.86€61.18€42.2025
Mar ’26€92.50
€100.52
+8.67%
12.89%€119.44€63.06€58.0025
Feb ’26€96.50
€99.91
+3.53%
14.88%€129.74€61.50€55.0025
Jan ’26€94.00
€99.13
+5.46%
15.98%€128.63€60.98€52.0025
Dec ’25€105.00
€98.97
-5.75%
15.98%€128.41€60.88€56.0025
Nov ’25€94.50
€95.82
+1.40%
16.25%€124.12€58.84€54.0025
Oct ’25€111.00
€91.26
-17.79%
16.45%€121.24€59.27€62.0025
Sep ’25€101.00
€89.56
-11.33%
12.72%€105.21€60.38€69.0024
€50.98
Fair Value
21.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/17 07:22
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/16 00:00
Earnings2026/06/25
Annual Earnings2025/12/25

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. is covered by 35 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Peter BenedictBaird
Seth SigmanBarclays
Karen ShortBarclays