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Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Fielmann Group AG's (ETR:FIE) Shares
When close to half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Fielmann Group AG (ETR:FIE) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 24.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Fielmann Group has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Fielmann Group
How Is Fielmann Group's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Fielmann Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 22% last year. EPS has also lifted 30% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 17% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that Fielmann Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Fielmann Group's P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Fielmann Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Fielmann Group.
You might be able to find a better investment than Fielmann Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:FIE
Fielmann Group
Engages in vision care and audiology business in Germany, Switzerland, Austria, Spain, North America, and internationally.
Solid track record and good value.
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