Stock Analysis

Fielmann Group's (ETR:FIE) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

XTRA:FIE
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Fielmann Group AG's (ETR:FIE) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.

View our latest analysis for Fielmann Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
XTRA:FIE Earnings and Revenue History September 6th 2024

Zooming In On Fielmann Group's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Fielmann Group has an accrual ratio of -0.12 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of €230m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of €143.9m. Fielmann Group's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Fielmann Group's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Fielmann Group has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Fielmann Group's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share increased by 25% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Fielmann Group, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Fielmann Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.