Luk Fook Holdings (International) Limited

BST:LUY1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.1b

Luk Fook Holdings (International) Valuation

Is LUY1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LUY1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LUY1 (€1.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LUY1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LUY1?

Key metric: As LUY1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LUY1. This is calculated by dividing LUY1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LUY1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.9x
EarningsHK$1.77b
Market CapHK$8.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LUY1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LUY1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.8x
FIE Fielmann Group
23.8x18.9%€3.4b
HBH HORNBACH Holding KGaA
7.7x6.8%€1.3b
CEC Ceconomy
10.8x22.4%€1.5b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
24.8xn/a€1.8b
LUY1 Luk Fook Holdings (International)
4.9x2.0%€8.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LUY1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the peer average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LUY1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LUY1 4.9xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies13PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LUY1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LUY1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LUY1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.9x
Fair PE Ratio9.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LUY1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LUY1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.76
€2.36
+34.1%
13.0%€2.88€2.00n/a9
Nov ’25€1.71
€2.36
+38.0%
13.0%€2.88€2.00n/a9
Oct ’25€1.88
€2.55
+35.5%
11.9%€3.16€2.10n/a9
Sep ’25€1.72
€2.55
+48.1%
11.9%€3.16€2.10n/a9
Aug ’25€1.74
€2.63
+51.0%
10.5%€3.19€2.28n/a8
Jul ’25€1.97
€2.90
+47.3%
18.9%€4.15€2.33n/a9
Jun ’25€2.18
€3.29
+50.9%
15.3%€4.17€2.62n/a9
May ’25€2.18
€3.29
+50.9%
15.3%€4.17€2.62n/a9
Apr ’25€2.46
€3.30
+34.1%
14.4%€4.12€2.59n/a9
Mar ’25€2.42
€3.30
+36.3%
14.4%€4.12€2.59n/a9
Feb ’25€2.26
€3.30
+46.0%
14.4%€4.12€2.59n/a9
Jan ’25€2.36
€3.30
+39.8%
14.4%€4.12€2.59n/a9
Dec ’24€2.50
€3.13
+25.4%
12.9%€3.76€2.58n/a8
Nov ’24€2.30
€3.13
+36.0%
14.0%€3.82€2.46€1.718
Oct ’24€2.48
€3.20
+29.2%
14.3%€3.82€2.46€1.888
Sep ’24€2.18
€3.05
+40.0%
12.8%€3.63€2.39€1.728
Aug ’24€2.36
€3.19
+35.2%
15.0%€4.06€2.38€1.7410
Jul ’24€2.30
€3.35
+45.5%
13.2%€4.07€2.39€1.979
Jun ’24€2.48
€3.39
+36.6%
14.8%€4.06€2.20€2.1810
May ’24€2.84
€3.39
+19.3%
14.8%€4.06€2.20€2.1810
Apr ’24€2.86
€3.38
+18.1%
15.3%€4.19€2.28€2.4610
Mar ’24€3.04
€3.30
+8.4%
14.8%€4.10€2.23€2.4211
Feb ’24€3.10
€3.30
+6.3%
14.8%€4.10€2.23€2.2611
Jan ’24€2.74
€3.01
+10.0%
16.6%€3.70€2.32€2.3611
Dec ’23€2.32
€3.01
+29.9%
16.6%€3.70€2.32€2.5011
Nov ’23€2.18
€3.31
+51.9%
14.3%€3.85€2.52€2.3011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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