Ventas Valuation

Is VEN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VEN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VEN (€61.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€89.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VEN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VEN?

Key metric: As VEN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for VEN. This is calculated by dividing VEN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is VEN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.6x
SalesUS$4.80b
Market CapUS$26.88b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VEN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VEN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.5x
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities
6.1x4.7%US$18.9b
DOC Healthpeak Properties
5.9x5.7%US$15.4b
OHI Omega Healthcare Investors
10.7x0.1%US$11.1b
WELL Welltower
11.4x11.4%US$85.9b
VEN Ventas
5.6x7.4%€26.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VEN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does VEN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Health Care REITs Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VEN 5.6xIndustry Avg. 6.5xNo. of Companies6PS03.26.49.612.816+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VEN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the Global Health Care REITs industry average (6.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VEN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VEN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.6x
Fair PS Ratio11.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VEN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VEN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€61.18
€67.42
+10.2%
7.2%€75.86€52.82n/a19
Nov ’25€60.28
€62.28
+3.3%
7.6%€69.87€50.57n/a19
Oct ’25€57.02
€58.96
+3.4%
8.8%€65.95€49.69n/a19
Sep ’25€54.96
€55.50
+1.0%
7.9%€62.98€44.99n/a19
Aug ’25€50.14
€51.95
+3.6%
8.9%€63.38€45.01n/a19
Jul ’25€47.32
€51.02
+7.8%
8.8%€64.53€45.82n/a18
Jun ’25€45.05
€49.33
+9.5%
9.1%€63.60€45.17n/a18
May ’25€41.52
€49.00
+18.0%
11.0%€65.44€43.00n/a19
Apr ’25€39.67
€48.81
+23.0%
11.0%€64.66€42.49n/a19
Mar ’25€38.98
€48.95
+25.6%
11.1%€66.44€42.45n/a20
Feb ’25€42.77
€50.08
+17.1%
10.4%€66.41€43.35n/a20
Jan ’25€45.44
€47.65
+4.9%
11.2%€65.18€42.55n/a19
Dec ’24€41.85
€47.77
+14.1%
10.8%€66.20€43.22n/a19
Nov ’24€40.15
€49.38
+23.0%
16.7%€75.74€41.66€60.2819
Oct ’24€39.33
€50.71
+28.9%
15.7%€75.67€44.46€57.0218
Sep ’24€40.16
€48.02
+19.6%
9.5%€62.46€41.33€54.9618
Aug ’24€43.90
€48.31
+10.0%
9.3%€61.53€40.72€50.1418
Jul ’24€43.18
€49.93
+15.6%
14.4%€73.36€41.27€47.3218
Jun ’24€40.23
€50.29
+25.0%
13.9%€74.57€41.94€45.0520
May ’24€42.57
€48.75
+14.5%
14.1%€72.60€40.84€41.5221
Apr ’24€40.19
€50.92
+26.7%
13.6%€73.80€41.51€39.6720
Mar ’24€45.71
€51.63
+12.9%
13.8%€75.03€42.21€38.9821
Feb ’24€47.33
€49.34
+4.3%
14.3%€72.82€40.96€42.7722
Jan ’24€42.03
€50.20
+19.4%
15.8%€75.94€42.71€45.4422
Dec ’23€44.28
€50.54
+14.2%
16.2%€76.00€42.75€41.8522
Nov ’23€39.55
€55.38
+40.1%
18.2%€80.99€38.47€40.1522

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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