Ventas Valuation

Is VEN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VEN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VEN (€41.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€79.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VEN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VEN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VEN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VEN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VEN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.8x
GIB GSW Immobilien
13.4xn/a€5.0b
DOC Healthpeak Properties
5.8x9.9%US$13.2b
OHI Omega Healthcare Investors
7.9x-1.5%US$7.7b
WELL Welltower
8.1x9.6%US$56.3b
VEN Ventas
4x5.7%€18.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VEN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (6.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VEN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Health Care REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VEN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the Global Health Care REITs industry average (6.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VEN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VEN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4x
Fair PS Ratio9.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VEN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VEN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€41.52
€48.89
+17.8%
11.0%€65.29€42.90n/a19
Apr ’25€39.67
€48.64
+22.6%
11.0%€64.43€42.34n/a19
Mar ’25€38.98
€48.95
+25.6%
11.1%€66.44€42.45n/a20
Feb ’25€42.77
€50.08
+17.1%
10.4%€66.41€43.35n/a20
Jan ’25€45.44
€47.65
+4.9%
11.2%€65.18€42.55n/a19
Dec ’24€41.85
€47.77
+14.1%
10.8%€66.20€43.22n/a19
Nov ’24€40.15
€49.38
+23.0%
16.7%€75.74€41.66n/a19
Oct ’24€39.33
€50.71
+28.9%
15.7%€75.67€44.46n/a18
Sep ’24€40.16
€48.02
+19.6%
9.5%€62.46€41.33n/a18
Aug ’24€43.90
€48.31
+10.0%
9.3%€61.53€40.72n/a18
Jul ’24€43.18
€49.93
+15.6%
14.4%€73.36€41.27n/a18
Jun ’24€40.23
€50.29
+25.0%
13.9%€74.57€41.94n/a20
May ’24€42.57
€48.75
+14.5%
14.1%€72.60€40.84€41.5221
Apr ’24€40.19
€50.80
+26.4%
14.0%€73.75€41.49€39.6719
Mar ’24€45.71
€51.63
+12.9%
13.8%€75.03€42.21€38.9821
Feb ’24€47.33
€49.34
+4.3%
14.3%€72.82€40.96€42.7722
Jan ’24€42.03
€50.20
+19.4%
15.8%€75.94€42.71€45.4422
Dec ’23€44.28
€50.54
+14.2%
16.2%€76.00€42.75€41.8522
Nov ’23€39.55
€55.38
+40.1%
18.2%€80.99€38.47€40.1522
Oct ’23€39.65
€61.90
+56.1%
10.3%€83.38€53.16€39.3323
Sep ’23€47.36
€59.52
+25.7%
9.8%€79.65€52.77€40.1623
Aug ’23€52.25
€60.15
+15.1%
9.3%€78.53€51.04€43.9022
Jul ’23€48.43
€60.47
+24.9%
8.4%€76.73€52.75€43.1822
Jun ’23€52.90
€59.98
+13.4%
7.7%€75.09€52.56€40.2321
May ’23€54.56
€60.11
+10.2%
9.3%€75.79€50.21€42.5721

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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