Sun Communities Valuation

Is SCZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SCZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SCZ (€122) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€195.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SCZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SCZ?

Key metric: As SCZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SCZ. This is calculated by dividing SCZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SCZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio70.2x
EarningsUS$231.20m
Market CapUS$16.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SCZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SCZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46.8x
AMH American Homes 4 Rent
39.7x-6.2%US$15.9b
INVH Invitation Homes
47.2x5.6%US$20.8b
ELS Equity LifeStyle Properties
37.3x5.2%US$14.2b
HABA Hamborner REIT
63x11.0%€515.7m
SCZ Sun Communities
70.2x5.7%€16.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SCZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (70.2x) compared to the peer average (46.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SCZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Residential REITs Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SCZ 70.2xIndustry Avg. 26.3xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SCZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (70.2x) compared to the Global Residential REITs industry average (26.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SCZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SCZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio70.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SCZ's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SCZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€122.00
€131.78
+8.0%
12.0%€163.38€104.49n/a15
Nov ’25€119.00
€137.23
+15.3%
8.1%€159.05€110.96n/a15
Oct ’25€120.00
€132.15
+10.1%
8.3%€155.38€108.41n/a14
Sep ’25€121.00
€129.39
+6.9%
9.3%€155.63€108.58n/a14
Aug ’25€122.00
€129.14
+5.9%
10.4%€159.39€111.20n/a14
Jul ’25€110.00
€128.73
+17.0%
11.2%€159.44€108.46n/a15
Jun ’25€108.00
€128.73
+19.2%
11.2%€159.44€108.46n/a15
May ’25€104.00
€133.09
+28.0%
10.6%€161.13€109.61n/a15
Apr ’25€118.00
€134.85
+14.3%
9.1%€159.44€114.02n/a15
Mar ’25€121.00
€133.93
+10.7%
9.6%€156.88€107.04n/a15
Feb ’25€118.00
€134.12
+13.7%
9.6%€156.96€107.10n/a15
Jan ’25€121.00
€131.84
+9.0%
10.2%€155.72€106.26n/a14
Dec ’24€117.00
€127.70
+9.1%
11.0%€157.88€105.86n/a14
Nov ’24€105.00
€129.99
+23.8%
13.1%€163.73€104.10€119.0014
Oct ’24€111.00
€140.68
+26.7%
6.6%€162.00€120.80€120.0013
Sep ’24€112.00
€139.37
+24.4%
5.4%€159.11€127.84€121.0013
Aug ’24€117.00
€139.14
+18.9%
5.5%€157.33€126.41€122.0013
Jul ’24€118.00
€145.14
+23.0%
5.5%€158.50€128.27€110.0012
Jun ’24€116.00
€147.78
+27.4%
4.9%€157.52€130.49€108.0011
May ’24€123.00
€146.23
+18.9%
3.7%€153.84€137.46€104.0011
Apr ’24€129.00
€150.12
+16.4%
5.8%€169.63€138.45€118.0011
Mar ’24€130.00
€157.47
+21.1%
5.8%€174.86€146.51€121.0010
Feb ’24€143.00
€151.87
+6.2%
5.5%€170.39€139.99€118.0010
Jan ’24€135.00
€152.66
+13.1%
5.2%€173.16€143.21€121.0010
Dec ’23€139.00
€156.35
+12.5%
5.2%€177.56€146.85€117.0010
Nov ’23€135.00
€161.88
+19.9%
6.6%€185.67€147.53€105.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies