Sotherly Hotels Valuation

Is MCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MCL (€0.94) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€41.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MCL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MCL?

Key metric: As MCL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MCL. This is calculated by dividing MCL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MCL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.1x
SalesUS$179.86m
Market CapUS$20.06m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MCL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.6x
FVI Fair Value REIT-AG
2.2xn/a€55.3m
IHT InnSuites Hospitality Trust
2.3xn/aUS$24.5m
DKG Deutsche Konsum REIT-AG
1.4x-7.4%€142.7m
APO aReit Prop
4.6xn/aR299.0m
MCL Sotherly Hotels
0.1x4.5%€20.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MCL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (2.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MCL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Hotel and Resort REITs Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.6.2x0%
MCL Sotherly Hotels
0.1x4.5%US$20.06m
MCL 0.1xIndustry Avg. 6.2xNo. of Companies11PS03.67.210.814.418+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.6.2x0%
MCL Sotherly Hotels
0.1x27.3%US$20.06m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MCL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the Global Hotel and Resort REITs industry average (6.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MCL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MCL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MCL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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