CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust

DB:M3T Stock Report

Market Cap: €8.9b

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Valuation

Is M3T undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of M3T when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: M3T (€1.32) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: M3T is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M3T?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

M3T key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue14.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA22.2x
PEG Ratio-55.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does M3T's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for M3T vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.5x
GIB GSW Immobilien
8.4xn/a€5.0b
FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust
36.9x9.1%US$8.8b
KIM Kimco Realty
39.3x12.3%US$12.9b
REG Regency Centers
29.5x6.9%US$11.1b
M3T CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust
15.1x-0.3%€13.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: M3T is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the peer average (35.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does M3T's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a42.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a42.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: M3T is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the European Retail REITs industry average (24.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is M3T's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

M3T PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate M3T's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst M3T forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.32
€1.50
+13.2%
5.0%€1.61€1.35n/a15
Apr ’25€1.34
€1.49
+11.6%
5.3%€1.60€1.35n/a16
Mar ’25€1.29
€1.49
+15.0%
5.3%€1.60€1.35n/a16
Feb ’25€1.34
€1.47
+9.8%
6.2%€1.59€1.31n/a17
Jan ’25€1.40
€1.47
+5.3%
5.7%€1.61€1.32n/a17
Dec ’24€1.24
€1.44
+16.2%
6.6%€1.58€1.26n/a16
Nov ’24€1.23
€1.47
+19.4%
7.0%€1.62€1.28n/a16
Oct ’24€1.26
€1.54
+22.6%
4.6%€1.61€1.37n/a16
Sep ’24€1.28
€1.52
+19.2%
4.5%€1.59€1.36n/a17
Aug ’24€1.35
€1.55
+14.8%
4.5%€1.64€1.36n/a17
Jul ’24€1.31
€1.55
+18.0%
4.3%€1.63€1.36n/a17
Jun ’24€1.36
€1.57
+15.6%
4.3%€1.65€1.38n/a17
May ’24€1.36
€1.57
+15.6%
4.9%€1.67€1.40€1.3217
Apr ’24€1.33
€1.57
+17.8%
4.9%€1.67€1.40€1.3417
Mar ’24€1.35
€1.57
+16.2%
6.0%€1.68€1.33€1.2918
Feb ’24€1.46
€1.56
+6.8%
6.9%€1.78€1.32€1.3418
Jan ’24€1.40
€1.53
+9.5%
7.0%€1.76€1.31€1.4018
Dec ’23€1.43
€1.57
+9.8%
7.4%€1.79€1.33€1.2419
Nov ’23€1.34
€1.61
+19.9%
8.0%€1.81€1.34€1.2319
Oct ’23€1.32
€1.74
+32.5%
5.6%€1.94€1.51€1.2619
Sep ’23€1.44
€1.74
+21.0%
5.6%€1.94€1.51€1.2819
Aug ’23€1.53
€1.73
+12.9%
5.8%€1.91€1.49€1.3519
Jul ’23€1.46
€1.70
+16.0%
5.4%€1.86€1.51€1.3119
Jun ’23€1.47
€1.68
+14.0%
5.3%€1.83€1.49€1.3619
May ’23€1.59
€1.66
+4.7%
4.6%€1.79€1.49€1.3619

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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