Rural Funds Group Valuation

Is J19 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of J19 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: J19 (€1.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: J19 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for J19?

Key metric: As J19 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for J19. This is calculated by dividing J19's market cap by their current earnings.
What is J19's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.8x
EarningsAU$83.25m
Market CapAU$732.68m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does J19's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for J19 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.7x
HABA Hamborner REIT
63x11.0%€515.7m
APR.UN Automotive Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
12.7xn/aCA$566.5m
IMPACT IMPACT Growth Real Estate Investment Trust
15.9x2.3%฿16.2b
FPI Farmland Partners
39.1x-65.8%US$615.1m
J19 Rural Funds Group
8.8x-7.2%€732.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: J19 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the peer average (32.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does J19's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialized REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
J19 8.8xIndustry Avg. 19.1xNo. of Companies8PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: J19 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the Global Specialized REITs industry average (19.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is J19's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

J19 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate J19's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst J19 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.09
€1.34
+23.8%
9.9%€1.51€1.15n/a5
Nov ’25€1.04
€1.34
+29.0%
9.9%€1.51€1.15n/a5
Oct ’25€1.14
€1.34
+17.3%
11.0%€1.54€1.16n/a6
Sep ’25€1.17
€1.32
+13.1%
11.4%€1.53€1.15n/a6
Aug ’25€1.20
€1.39
+15.9%
9.5%€1.55€1.17n/a6
Jul ’25€1.17
€1.34
+14.6%
9.9%€1.50€1.13n/a6
Jun ’25€1.11
€1.34
+20.1%
9.9%€1.50€1.13n/a6
May ’25€1.20
€1.34
+11.5%
9.9%€1.50€1.13n/a6
Apr ’25€1.21
€1.34
+10.9%
9.9%€1.50€1.13n/a6
Mar ’25€1.25
€1.38
+10.4%
7.6%€1.50€1.24n/a5
Feb ’25€1.20
€1.40
+16.8%
8.2%€1.50€1.21n/a5
Jan ’25€1.25
€1.40
+11.8%
8.2%€1.50€1.21n/a5
Dec ’24n/a
€1.31
0%
8.9%€1.45€1.18n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
€1.31
0%
8.9%€1.45€1.18€1.045
Oct ’24n/a
€1.28
0%
8.1%€1.45€1.17€1.145
Sep ’24n/a
€1.28
0%
8.1%€1.45€1.17€1.175
Aug ’24n/a
€1.33
0%
14.4%€1.69€1.12€1.205
Jul ’24n/a
€1.42
0%
15.0%€1.73€1.16€1.175
Jun ’24n/a
€1.44
0%
15.5%€1.70€1.14€1.115
May ’24n/a
€1.55
0%
9.9%€1.71€1.30€1.204
Apr ’24n/a
€1.55
0%
9.9%€1.72€1.31€1.214
Mar ’24n/a
€1.60
0%
9.3%€1.79€1.36€1.255
Feb ’24n/a
€1.67
0%
7.9%€1.80€1.50€1.205
Jan ’24n/a
€1.67
0%
7.9%€1.80€1.50€1.255
Dec ’23n/a
€1.67
0%
7.9%€1.80€1.50n/a5
Nov ’23n/a
€1.81
0%
5.9%€1.88€1.59n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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