H&R Real Estate Investment Trust

DB:HR3A Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.9b

H&R Real Estate Investment Trust Valuation

Is HR3A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HR3A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HR3A (€6.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€10.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HR3A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HR3A?

Key metric: As HR3A is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for HR3A. This is calculated by dividing HR3A's market cap by their current revenue.
What is HR3A's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.9x
SalesCA$875.35m
Market CapCA$2.75b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does HR3A's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for HR3A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4x
FVI Fair Value REIT-AG
2.3xn/a€54.7m
AOX alstria office REIT-AG
5.2x-1.5%€1.2b
HABA Hamborner REIT
4.9x1.7%€515.7m
AAT American Assets Trust
3.8x2.5%US$2.2b
HR3A H&R Real Estate Investment Trust
2.9x4.1%€2.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: HR3A is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.9x) compared to the peer average (4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does HR3A's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HR3A 2.9xIndustry Avg. 8.2xNo. of Companies10PS0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: HR3A is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.9x) compared to the European REITs industry average (8.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HR3A's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HR3A PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.9x
Fair PS Ratio8.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: HR3A is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HR3A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.37
€7.76
+21.9%
5.2%€8.11€6.83n/a7
Nov ’25€6.60
€7.67
+16.2%
3.3%€8.00€7.33n/a7
Oct ’25€7.19
€7.57
+5.2%
4.9%€8.01€7.01n/a6
Sep ’25€6.62
€7.37
+11.4%
4.2%€7.92€6.93n/a6
Aug ’25€6.04
€7.51
+24.4%
4.1%€8.10€7.09n/a6
Jul ’25€5.68
€7.51
+32.1%
4.1%€8.10€7.09n/a6
Jun ’25€5.76
€7.51
+30.4%
4.1%€8.10€7.09n/a6
May ’25€5.98
€7.56
+26.5%
4.0%€8.18€7.16n/a6
Apr ’25€6.05
€7.41
+22.4%
1.8%€7.48€7.14n/a5
Mar ’25€5.90
€7.51
+27.3%
2.9%€7.85€7.16n/a5
Feb ’25€6.59
€7.77
+18.0%
4.5%€8.26€7.23n/a6
Jan ’25€6.58
€7.66
+16.4%
5.8%€8.20€6.83n/a6
Dec ’24€5.82
€7.41
+27.4%
5.8%€7.99€6.66n/a6
Nov ’24€5.65
€8.42
+49.0%
11.3%€9.28€6.70€6.606
Oct ’24€6.34
€8.78
+38.5%
6.0%€9.18€7.65€7.196
Sep ’24€6.86
€8.78
+28.1%
6.0%€9.18€7.65€6.626
Aug ’24€6.87
€9.13
+33.0%
7.8%€9.61€7.59€6.046
Jul ’24€6.84
€9.52
+39.1%
6.6%€10.26€8.21€5.686
Jun ’24€6.79
€9.52
+40.2%
6.6%€10.26€8.21€5.766
May ’24€7.65
€10.65
+39.1%
3.0%€11.26€10.25€5.986
Apr ’24€8.17
€10.68
+30.7%
3.3%€11.36€10.34€6.056
Mar ’24€8.82
€10.96
+24.3%
3.3%€11.65€10.61€5.906
Feb ’24€8.71
€10.59
+21.5%
3.5%€11.19€10.33€6.596
Jan ’24€8.16
€10.50
+28.8%
4.2%€11.22€9.84€6.587
Dec ’23€8.63
€11.04
+27.9%
4.5%€11.79€10.34€5.827
Nov ’23€8.09
€11.63
+43.7%
7.7%€12.56€9.97€5.657

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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