Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust

DB:D3N Stock Report

Market Cap: €603.2m

Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust Valuation

Is D3N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of D3N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: D3N (€0.09) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: D3N is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for D3N?

Key metric: As D3N is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for D3N. This is calculated by dividing D3N's market cap by their current revenue.
What is D3N's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.2x
SalesCN¥2.06b
Market CapCN¥4.57b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does D3N's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for D3N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.4x
FVI Fair Value REIT-AG
2.3xn/a€56.1m
HABA Hamborner REIT
4.9x1.7%€519.8m
AOX alstria office REIT-AG
5.1x-1.5%€1.2b
DKG Deutsche Konsum REIT-AG
1.4x-9.5%€143.1m
D3N Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust
2.2x0.2%€4.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: D3N is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the peer average (3.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does D3N's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
D3N 2.2xIndustry Avg. 8.2xNo. of Companies10PS0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: D3N is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the European REITs industry average (8.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is D3N's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

D3N PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.2x
Fair PS Ratio1.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: D3N is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst D3N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.089
€0.16
+80.5%
20.3%€0.20€0.12n/a3
Nov ’25€0.12
€0.16
+37.3%
20.3%€0.20€0.12n/a3
Oct ’25€0.11
€0.15
+40.8%
21.6%€0.20€0.12n/a4
Sep ’25€0.05
€0.15
+197.0%
21.2%€0.19€0.12n/a4
Aug ’25€0.085
€0.15
+80.4%
19.1%€0.19€0.12n/a4
Jul ’25€0.083
€0.15
+84.8%
19.1%€0.19€0.12n/a4
Jun ’25€0.088
€0.15
+74.3%
19.1%€0.19€0.12n/a4
May ’25€0.074
€0.15
+107.3%
19.1%€0.19€0.12n/a4
Apr ’25€0.12
€0.15
+33.4%
19.1%€0.19€0.12n/a4
Mar ’25€0.11
€0.17
+58.5%
11.3%€0.20€0.14n/a4
Feb ’25€0.11
€0.19
+73.3%
17.5%€0.24€0.14n/a4
Jan ’25€0.13
€0.19
+46.1%
17.6%€0.24€0.14n/a4
Dec ’24€0.13
€0.19
+47.5%
17.6%€0.24€0.14n/a4
Nov ’24€0.12
€0.19
+62.5%
17.6%€0.24€0.14€0.124
Oct ’24€0.14
€0.20
+41.4%
10.0%€0.24€0.18€0.114
Sep ’24€0.16
€0.20
+28.8%
10.0%€0.24€0.18€0.054
Aug ’24€0.17
€0.22
+32.9%
7.4%€0.24€0.20€0.0854
Jul ’24€0.18
€0.26
+44.9%
10.0%€0.30€0.24€0.0834
Jun ’24€0.20
€0.26
+29.7%
10.0%€0.30€0.24€0.0884
May ’24€0.22
€0.26
+16.8%
10.0%€0.30€0.24€0.0744
Apr ’24€0.22
€0.26
+18.9%
10.0%€0.30€0.24€0.124
Mar ’24€0.28
€0.32
+12.5%
26.8%€0.41€0.19€0.114
Feb ’24€0.29
€0.32
+10.4%
25.4%€0.40€0.19€0.114
Jan ’24€0.21
€0.41
+96.4%
36.4%€0.63€0.20€0.134
Dec ’23€0.20
€0.41
+104.2%
36.4%€0.63€0.20€0.134
Nov ’23€0.16
€0.41
+164.4%
36.4%€0.63€0.20€0.124

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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