Brixmor Property Group Inc.

DB:BXR Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.8b

Brixmor Property Group Valuation

Is BXR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BXR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€37.22
Fair Value
32.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: BXR (€25.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€37.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BXR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BXR?

Key metric: As BXR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BXR. This is calculated by dividing BXR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BXR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.8x
EarningsUS$327.94m
Market CapUS$7.95b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BXR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BXR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.8x
HABA Hamborner REIT
63x9.5%€515.7m
DKG Deutsche Konsum REIT-AG
74.5x52.7%€146.6m
LI Klépierre
11.7x9.2%€8.0b
NNN NNN REIT
18x2.3%US$7.3b
BXR Brixmor Property Group
23.8x-0.2%€8.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BXR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the peer average (41.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BXR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BXR 23.8xIndustry Avg. 21.6xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BXR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the European Retail REITs industry average (21.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BXR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BXR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BXR's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BXR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.20
€31.01
+23.0%
6.7%€37.81€28.11n/a17
Jan ’26€26.20
€30.88
+17.9%
6.7%€37.65€28.00n/a17
Dec ’25€28.20
€29.29
+3.9%
5.6%€32.45€25.77n/a17
Nov ’25€24.80
€26.90
+8.5%
5.8%€30.45€24.92n/a17
Oct ’25€25.00
€25.96
+3.9%
6.5%€29.70€22.95n/a17
Sep ’25€24.60
€25.11
+2.1%
7.8%€29.69€19.79n/a17
Aug ’25€23.40
€24.31
+3.9%
10.6%€30.48€20.32n/a17
Jul ’25€21.00
€23.98
+14.2%
8.6%€28.97€20.56n/a18
Jun ’25€20.60
€23.63
+14.7%
8.6%€28.54€20.26n/a18
May ’25€20.60
€24.30
+18.0%
8.3%€29.04€20.61n/a18
Apr ’25€21.40
€24.10
+12.6%
8.0%€28.74€20.39n/a18
Mar ’25€20.80
€23.99
+15.3%
8.4%€28.61€20.30n/a18
Feb ’25€20.80
€23.58
+13.4%
8.5%€27.70€20.31n/a18
Jan ’25€21.20
€22.83
+7.7%
9.0%€27.16€19.92€26.2017
Dec ’24€20.00
€22.97
+14.9%
9.6%€27.59€20.23€28.2017
Nov ’24€19.70
€23.66
+20.1%
9.9%€28.35€19.84€24.8017
Oct ’24€19.50
€23.98
+23.0%
8.1%€28.14€20.64€25.0017
Sep ’24€20.20
€23.49
+16.3%
8.7%€27.76€20.36€24.6017
Aug ’24€20.40
€22.38
+9.7%
8.9%€26.06€18.87€23.4017
Jul ’24€19.90
€22.65
+13.8%
10.0%€26.68€19.32€21.0017
Jun ’24€18.30
€22.91
+25.2%
10.0%€27.06€19.60€20.6019
May ’24€19.10
€22.61
+18.4%
9.0%€26.43€19.14€20.6018
Apr ’24€19.50
€22.91
+17.5%
9.0%€26.75€19.37€21.4018
Mar ’24€21.00
€23.56
+12.2%
8.1%€27.20€19.70€20.8017
Feb ’24€21.40
€22.86
+6.8%
9.1%€27.01€19.56€20.8017
Jan ’24€21.00
€22.77
+8.4%
10.6%€27.36€17.92€21.2017
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
€31.17
Fair Value
19.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 01:22
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Brixmor Property Group Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jonathan PongBaird
Ross SmotrichBarclays
John KimBMO Capital Markets Equity Research