British Land Valuation

Is BLD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BLD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BLD (€4.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€4.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BLD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BLD?

Key metric: As BLD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BLD. This is calculated by dividing BLD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BLD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.7x
SalesUK£670.00m
Market CapUK£3.80b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BLD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BLD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8x
FVI Fair Value REIT-AG
2.4xn/a€58.1m
AOX alstria office REIT-AG
5.1x-1.5%€1.2b
LMP LondonMetric Property
21.6x15.3%UK£3.8b
MGR Mirvac Group
2.7x-44.9%AU$8.3b
BLD British Land
5.7x-2.5%€3.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BLD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.7x) compared to the peer average (8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BLD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLD 5.7xIndustry Avg. 8.2xNo. of Companies11PS0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BLD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.7x) compared to the European REITs industry average (8.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BLD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BLD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.7x
Fair PS Ratio12x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BLD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (12x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BLD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.50
€5.63
+25.1%
12.6%€6.84€3.84n/a17
Nov ’25€4.73
€5.65
+19.5%
12.6%€6.86€3.81n/a17
Oct ’25€5.23
€5.53
+5.8%
12.7%€6.42€3.80n/a16
Sep ’25€4.74
€5.37
+13.4%
12.0%€6.23€3.67n/a16
Aug ’25€4.83
€5.37
+11.2%
12.0%€6.23€3.67n/a16
Jul ’25€4.82
€5.24
+8.5%
14.5%€6.22€3.65n/a16
Jun ’25€5.21
€4.97
-4.6%
17.0%€5.99€2.74n/a17
May ’25€4.56
€4.90
+7.5%
17.7%€5.95€2.72n/a17
Apr ’25€4.55
€4.85
+6.7%
18.5%€5.96€2.72n/a17
Mar ’25€4.04
€4.81
+19.2%
18.1%€5.97€2.73n/a17
Feb ’25€4.44
€4.75
+7.0%
17.9%€5.98€2.73n/a17
Jan ’25€4.63
€4.49
-3.0%
18.7%€5.83€2.70n/a15
Dec ’24€4.06
€4.45
+9.8%
20.6%€5.81€2.69n/a15
Nov ’24€3.39
€4.43
+31.0%
23.1%€6.13€2.70€4.7316
Oct ’24€3.56
€4.54
+27.6%
21.9%€6.10€2.68€5.2316
Sep ’24€3.82
€4.93
+29.2%
19.9%€6.16€2.71€4.7417
Aug ’24€3.91
€4.98
+27.5%
18.9%€6.19€2.72€4.8317
Jul ’24€3.47
€5.15
+48.3%
14.2%€6.19€3.62€4.8217
Jun ’24€3.98
€5.06
+27.1%
13.0%€6.09€3.79€5.2117
May ’24€4.41
€5.15
+17.0%
11.7%€6.03€4.04€4.5617
Apr ’24€4.39
€5.15
+17.4%
11.7%€6.03€4.04€4.5517
Mar ’24€5.10
€5.19
+1.7%
10.7%€6.02€4.04€4.0417
Feb ’24€4.98
€4.99
+0.2%
11.8%€6.01€4.02€4.4416
Jan ’24€4.42
€4.91
+11.0%
13.3%€6.21€3.89€4.6316
Dec ’23€4.57
€5.23
+14.4%
15.5%€6.57€4.01€4.0617
Nov ’23€4.41
€5.23
+18.5%
18.6%€6.46€3.66€3.3917

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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