Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.

DB:791 Stock Report

Market Cap: €944.7m

Armada Hoffler Properties Valuation

Is 791 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 791 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 791 (€10.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€17.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 791 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 791?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

791 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13x
PEG Ratio-1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 791's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 791 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.9x
CNI Centuria Capital Group
126.8x21.4%AU$1.4b
FNOVA 17 Fibra Nova
6xn/aMex$13.0b
8966 Heiwa Real Estate REIT
21.5x-7.4%JP¥162.6b
RIT1 Reit 1
5.4xn/a₪3.0b
791 Armada Hoffler Properties
85.1x-78.1%€1.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 791 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (85.1x) compared to the peer average (39.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 791's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a76.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a76.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 791 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (85.1x) compared to the European REITs industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 791's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

791 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio85.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 791's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 791 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.70
€11.02
+3.0%
16.4%€12.07€7.89n/a4
May ’25€9.85
€10.80
+9.6%
18.4%€12.20€7.98n/a3
Apr ’25€9.35
€10.72
+14.6%
19.3%€12.40€7.81n/a3
Mar ’25€9.35
€12.07
+29.0%
23.2%€15.78€7.89n/a4
Feb ’25€11.00
€11.98
+9.0%
23.2%€15.67€7.84n/a4
Jan ’25€11.40
€11.54
+1.2%
24.0%€15.53€7.77n/a4
Dec ’24€9.95
€11.54
+15.9%
24.0%€15.53€7.77n/a4
Nov ’24€9.55
€12.48
+30.7%
19.5%€16.17€9.51n/a4
Oct ’24€9.60
€12.34
+28.5%
18.3%€15.54€9.14n/a4
Sep ’24€10.40
€12.34
+18.6%
18.3%€15.54€9.14n/a4
Aug ’24€11.20
€12.01
+7.2%
18.3%€15.12€8.89n/a4
Jul ’24€10.60
€12.49
+17.8%
18.2%€15.58€9.16n/a4
Jun ’24€10.30
€12.61
+22.4%
18.2%€15.74€9.26n/a4
May ’24€10.30
€12.96
+25.8%
12.5%€15.46€10.91€9.854
Apr ’24€10.40
€12.80
+23.1%
14.0%€15.68€11.07€9.354
Mar ’24€11.90
€12.94
+8.7%
12.5%€15.83€11.17€9.355
Feb ’24€11.50
€12.55
+9.1%
13.0%€15.69€11.07€11.005
Jan ’24€10.60
€13.37
+26.2%
12.6%€16.60€11.71€11.405
Dec ’23€11.80
€13.37
+13.3%
12.6%€16.60€11.71€9.955
Nov ’23€11.60
€14.71
+26.8%
9.8%€17.25€13.19€9.555
Oct ’23€10.70
€15.92
+48.8%
7.7%€17.35€14.28€9.605
Sep ’23€12.90
€16.04
+24.4%
5.6%€17.05€15.04€10.405
Aug ’23€13.60
€15.08
+10.9%
7.4%€16.23€13.36€11.205
Jul ’23€12.10
€15.08
+24.6%
7.4%€16.23€13.36€10.605
Jun ’23€12.60
€15.65
+24.2%
6.1%€16.97€14.14€10.305
May ’23€13.20
€15.03
+13.9%
7.3%€16.50€13.75€10.305

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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