Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust

DB:6HC Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.1b

Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Valuation

Is 6HC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6HC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6HC (€8.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€17.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6HC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6HC?

Key metric: As 6HC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 6HC. This is calculated by dividing 6HC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 6HC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.1x
SalesCA$1.45b
Market CapCA$4.52b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 6HC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 6HC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.5x
HABA Hamborner REIT
4.9x1.7%€515.7m
DKG Deutsche Konsum REIT-AG
1.3x-7.4%€135.4m
AOX alstria office REIT-AG
5.2x-1.5%€1.2b
UE Urban Edge Properties
6.6x1.2%US$3.0b
6HC Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
3.1x3.2%€4.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 6HC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the peer average (4.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 6HC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6HC 3.1xIndustry Avg. 5.7xNo. of Companies6PS03.26.49.612.816+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 6HC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the European Retail REITs industry average (5.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6HC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6HC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.1x
Fair PS Ratio11.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 6HC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6HC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.85
€10.70
+20.9%
3.0%€11.12€10.11n/a8
Nov ’25€8.60
€10.61
+23.3%
4.3%€11.32€9.98n/a8
Oct ’25€9.25
€10.38
+12.2%
3.5%€10.91€9.92n/a8
Sep ’25€9.05
€10.19
+12.5%
1.6%€10.35€10.02n/a8
Aug ’25€8.50
€10.19
+19.8%
1.6%€10.35€10.02n/a8
Jul ’25€7.95
€10.12
+27.3%
1.1%€10.16€9.83n/a8
Jun ’25€7.80
€10.19
+30.7%
1.2%€10.24€9.90n/a7
May ’25€8.65
€10.19
+17.8%
1.2%€10.24€9.90n/a7
Apr ’25€9.10
€10.44
+14.7%
2.9%€11.03€10.00n/a7
Mar ’25€8.90
€10.44
+17.3%
2.9%€11.03€10.00n/a7
Feb ’25€9.40
€10.26
+9.1%
3.1%€10.94€9.92n/a7
Jan ’25€9.25
€10.26
+10.9%
3.1%€10.94€9.92n/a7
Dec ’24€8.65
€9.96
+15.2%
3.6%€10.16€9.14n/a7
Nov ’24€8.00
€10.33
+29.1%
5.9%€10.96€9.25€8.606
Oct ’24€8.65
€10.58
+22.4%
5.2%€11.22€9.52€9.258
Sep ’24€8.70
€10.58
+21.7%
5.2%€11.22€9.52€9.058
Aug ’24€9.30
€10.58
+13.8%
5.2%€11.22€9.52€8.508
Jul ’24€9.05
€10.55
+16.5%
4.9%€11.29€9.63€7.958
Jun ’24€9.10
€10.55
+15.9%
4.9%€11.29€9.63€7.808
May ’24€9.55
€10.55
+10.4%
4.9%€11.29€9.63€8.658
Apr ’24€9.40
€10.72
+14.0%
4.7%€11.53€9.83€9.108
Mar ’24€10.00
€10.97
+9.7%
4.8%€11.84€10.10€8.908
Feb ’24€10.00
€10.69
+6.9%
4.4%€11.36€9.98€9.408
Jan ’24€9.95
€10.62
+6.8%
4.9%€11.39€10.01€9.259
Dec ’23€10.20
€11.10
+8.9%
4.2%€11.99€10.54€8.659
Nov ’23€9.45
€10.89
+15.3%
3.9%€11.47€9.99€8.008

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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