China Merchants Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust

DB:5C3 Stock Report

Market Cap: €166.0m

China Merchants Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust Valuation

Is 5C3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5C3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5C3 (€0.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5C3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5C3?

Key metric: As 5C3 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 5C3. This is calculated by dividing 5C3's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 5C3's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.4x
SalesCN¥517.49m
Market CapCN¥1.26b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 5C3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 5C3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3x
FVI Fair Value REIT-AG
2.3xn/a€56.1m
DKG Deutsche Konsum REIT-AG
1.4x-9.5%€143.1m
HABA Hamborner REIT
4.9x1.7%€519.8m
MDV Modiv Industrial
3.3x2.0%US$159.2m
5C3 China Merchants Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust
2.4xn/a€1.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 5C3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 5C3's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5C3 2.4xIndustry Avg. 8.2xNo. of Companies10PS0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 5C3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the European REITs industry average (8.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5C3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5C3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.4x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 5C3's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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