Necessity Retail REIT Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Necessity Retail REIT is forecast to grow revenue at 0.2% per annum.

Key information

n/a

Earnings growth rate

n/a

EPS growth rate

Retail REITs earnings growth	37.6%
Revenue growth rate	0.2%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	12 Sep 2023

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:3FG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2024	454	N/A	N/A	N/A	2
12/31/2023	433	N/A	N/A	N/A	1
6/30/2023	455	-163	58	94	N/A
3/31/2023	465	-166	101	128	N/A
12/31/2022	446	-107	135	155	N/A
9/30/2022	411	-115	162	176	N/A
6/30/2022	386	-64	170	184	N/A
3/31/2022	351	-15	140	156	N/A
12/31/2021	335	-64	132	145	N/A
9/30/2021	330	-32	111	123	N/A
6/30/2021	316	-34	100	109	N/A
3/31/2021	310	-48	96	103	N/A
12/31/2020	305	-47	84	93	N/A
9/30/2020	304	-43	86	97	N/A
6/30/2020	299	-39	91	103	N/A
3/31/2020	303	-9	93	109	N/A
12/31/2019	300	-4	92	106	N/A
9/30/2019	299	-12	88	99	N/A
6/30/2019	301	-36	76	90	N/A
3/31/2019	293	-56	82	91	N/A
12/31/2018	291	-37	85	95	N/A
9/30/2018	288	-43	89	101	N/A
6/30/2018	283	-31	96	107	N/A
3/31/2018	284	-20	97	108	N/A
12/31/2017	271	-46	84	92	N/A
9/30/2017	243	-63	78	82	N/A
6/30/2017	218	-56	76	78	N/A
3/31/2017	191	-59	N/A	62	N/A
12/31/2016	178	-54	N/A	73	N/A
9/30/2016	177	-32	N/A	75	N/A
6/30/2016	176	-34	N/A	78	N/A
3/31/2016	175	-32	N/A	82	N/A
12/31/2015	174	-21	N/A	89	N/A
9/30/2015	173	-3	N/A	98	N/A
6/30/2015	172	10	N/A	107	N/A
3/31/2015	171	12	N/A	107	N/A
12/31/2014	158	-2	N/A	100	N/A
9/30/2014	140	-12	N/A	70	N/A
6/30/2014	99	-31	N/A	28	N/A
3/31/2014	57	-32	N/A	6	N/A
12/31/2013	26	-23	N/A	-15	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if 3FG's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (0.4%).

Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if 3FG's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the German market

High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if 3FG's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 3FG's revenue (0.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (4.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 3FG's revenue (0.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if 3FG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2023/09/13 12:49
End of Day Share Price	2023/09/11 00:00
Earnings	2023/06/30
Annual Earnings	2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. is covered by 5 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Brian Hollenden	Aegis Capital Corporation
Bryan Maher	B. Riley Securities, Inc.
Barry Oxford	Colliers Securities

Necessity Retail REIT Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2024

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2022

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Recent updates

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. Files Form 15

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc.(NasdaqGS:RTL) dropped from NASDAQ Composite Index

Global Net Lease, Inc. (NYSE:GNL) completed the acquisition of The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. (NasdaqGS:RTL) from The Vanguard Group, Inc., BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE:BLK), State Street Corporation (NYSE:STT) and others.

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.40 loss per share (vs US$0.43 loss in 2Q 2022)

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 02, 2023

An unknown buyer acquired Portfolio of 44 Properties of The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. for $93 million.

Blackwells Capital Provides Information to Shareholders of The Necessity Retail REIT

Global Net Lease, Inc. (NYSE:GNL) entered into a definitive merger agreement to acquire The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. (NasdaqGS:RTL) for approximately $940 million.

Blackwells Capital Calls on Global Net Lease and The Necessity Retail REIT to Confirm Annual Meeting Dates

First quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.14 loss per share (vs US$0.31 profit in 1Q 2022)

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 18, 2023

Full year 2022 earnings released: FFO per share: US$1.0 (vs US$0.83 in FY 2021)

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 22, 2023

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. Announces Common Stock Dividend for First Quarter 2023, Payable on January 17, 2023

Blackwells Onshore Files Complaint Against The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc

Blackwells Capital Announces Lawsuit Against Global Net Lease Inc. and The Necessity Retail REIT Inc

Insufficient new directors

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: FFO per share: US$0.2 (vs US$0.27 in 3Q 2021)

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 02, 2022

The Necessity Retail REIT Declares Common Stock Dividend for Fourth Quarter 2022, Payable on October 17, 2022

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2024

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: US$0.38 loss per share (vs US$0.067 loss in 2Q 2021)

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. Announces Impairment Charges for the Three Months Ended June 30, 2022

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 03, 2022

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. Announces Common Stock Dividend for Third Quarter 2022, Payable on July 15, 2022

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2022

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. (NasdaqGS:RTL) acquired The Plant open air shopping center in San Jose, CA from CIM Real Estate Finance Trust, Inc. for $175 million.

First quarter 2022 earnings released: FFO: US$94.9m per share (vs US$0.21 in 1Q 2021)

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. Announces Unaudited Impairment Charges for the First Quarter Ended March 31, 2022

Insufficient new directors

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 04, 2022

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc. Announces Common Stock Dividend for Second Quarter 2022, Payable on April 18, 2022

Independent Director recently bought €63k worth of stock

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

The Necessity Retail REIT, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 19, 2022

American Finance Trust, Inc. to Report Q4, 2021 Results on Feb 23, 2022

An unknown buyer completed the acquisition of non-core portfolio of three office buildings leased to Sanofi S.A.

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

American Finance Trust, Inc. (NasdaqGS:AFIN) entered into an agreement to acquire Shopping centers from CIM Real Estate Finance Trust, Inc. for $13.2 billion.

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.054 loss per share (vs US$0.065 loss in 3Q 2020)

American Finance Trust, Inc. (NasdaqGS:AFIN) acquired 31 Properties Located in the United States for $85.3 million.

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.013 loss per share (vs US$0.20 loss in 2Q 2020)

First quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.087 loss per share (vs US$0.084 loss in 1Q 2020)

CFO, Secretary & Treasurer has left the company

American Finance Trust, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 12, 2021

Full year 2020 earnings released: FFO US$0.90 per share (vs US$0.93 in FY 2019)

Revenue misses expectations

American Finance Trust, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

New 90-day high: €6.99

American Finance Trust, Inc. to Report Q4, 2020 Results on Feb 24, 2021

New 90-day high: €6.27

Revenue beats expectations

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: FFO US$0.24 per share

New 90-day low: €5.09

An unknown buyer acquired two Truist Bank properties from American Finance Trust, Inc. (NasdaqGS:AFIN) for $5.6 million.

Earnings released

American Finance Trust, Inc. to Report Q2, 2020 Results on Aug 05, 2020