Stock Analysis

Does Aroundtown SA (ETR:AT1) Have A Place In Your Dividend Portfolio?

XTRA:AT1
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Could Aroundtown SA (ETR:AT1) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are often drawn to strong companies with the idea of reinvesting the dividends. Yet sometimes, investors buy a stock for its dividend and lose money because the share price falls by more than they earned in dividend payments.

In this case, Aroundtown pays a decent-sized 7.4% dividend yield, and has been distributing cash to shareholders for the past three years. A 7.4% yield does look good. Could the short payment history hint at future dividend growth? The company also bought back stock during the year, equivalent to approximately 16% of the company's market capitalisation at the time. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying Aroundtown for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

historic-dividend
XTRA:AT1 Historic Dividend March 30th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Looking at the data, we can see that 72% of Aroundtown's profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. This is a healthy payout ratio, and while it does limit the amount of earnings that can be reinvested in the business, there is also some room to lift the payout ratio over time.

Another important check we do is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend. Aroundtown's cash payout ratio last year was 3.8%. Cash flows are typically lumpy, but this looks like an appropriately conservative payout. It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Consider getting our latest analysis on Aroundtown's financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. This company's dividend has been unstable, and with a relatively short history, we think it's a little soon to draw strong conclusions about its long term dividend potential. During the past three-year period, the first annual payment was €0.2 in 2018, compared to €0.4 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 39% a year over that time. The dividends haven't grown at precisely 39% every year, but this is a useful way to average out the historical rate of growth.

Aroundtown has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, but it might be worth considering if the business has turned a corner.

Dividend Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share (EPS) are growing - it's not worth taking the risk on a dividend getting cut, unless you might be rewarded with larger dividends in future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Aroundtown's EPS have declined at around 17% a year. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and Aroundtown's earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

Conclusion

Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. First, we think Aroundtown has an acceptable payout ratio and its dividend is well covered by cashflow. Earnings per share are down, and Aroundtown's dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. In sum, we find it hard to get excited about Aroundtown from a dividend perspective. It's not that we think it's a bad business; just that there are other companies that perform better on these criteria.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come accross 4 warning signs for Aroundtown you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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