Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation

DB:T8F Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.1b

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Valuation

Is T8F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of T8F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: T8F (€5.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: T8F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for T8F?

Key metric: As T8F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for T8F. This is calculated by dividing T8F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is T8F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.1x
EarningsJP¥55.26b
Market CapJP¥668.37b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does T8F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for T8F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.9x
FC9 FCR Immobilien
13.6x8.8%€100.7m
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
61.4xn/a€829.8m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
24.4xn/a€816.4m
3231 Nomura Real Estate Holdings
8.3x2.9%JP¥642.3b
T8F Tokyu Fudosan Holdings
12.1x11.0%€668.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: T8F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the peer average (26.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does T8F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GTY Gateway Real Estate
0.4xn/aUS$95.49m
ADJ Adler Group
0.05xn/aUS$49.42m
AAA A.A.A. Allgemeine Anlageverwaltung
2.6xn/aUS$47.44m
N9H Global Connectivity
0.1xn/aUS$1.51m
No more companies available in this PE range
T8F 12.1xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: T8F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the European Real Estate industry average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is T8F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

T8F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.1x
Fair PE Ratio18.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: T8F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst T8F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.70
€7.43
+30.4%
8.6%€8.26€6.34n/a10
Dec ’25€6.15
€7.77
+26.4%
11.0%€9.47€6.44n/a10
Nov ’25€5.75
€8.00
+39.2%
9.6%€9.49€6.96n/a10
Oct ’25€6.15
€8.00
+30.1%
9.6%€9.49€6.96n/a10
Sep ’25€6.45
€7.97
+23.6%
8.1%€9.28€7.06n/a10
Aug ’25€6.15
€7.72
+25.5%
7.5%€8.74€6.89n/a10
Jul ’25€6.20
€7.45
+20.2%
11.7%€9.02€5.63n/a10
Jun ’25€6.35
€7.41
+16.6%
13.3%€9.07€5.66n/a10
May ’25€6.90
€7.54
+9.3%
14.1%€9.35€5.83n/a11
Apr ’25€7.40
€7.08
-4.3%
11.5%€8.56€5.87n/a11
Mar ’25€6.15
€6.98
+13.5%
10.3%€8.23€5.94n/a11
Feb ’25€6.10
€6.81
+11.6%
10.5%€8.14€5.51n/a11
Jan ’25€5.70
€6.67
+16.9%
8.3%€7.67€5.62n/a10
Dec ’24€5.75
€6.34
+10.2%
8.2%€7.37€5.40€6.1510
Nov ’24€5.45
€6.45
+18.4%
10.0%€7.61€5.58€5.7511
Oct ’24€5.75
€6.24
+8.5%
8.9%€7.61€5.58€6.1511
Sep ’24€5.80
€6.03
+3.9%
5.7%€6.65€5.58€6.4511
Aug ’24€5.35
€5.81
+8.6%
6.8%€6.41€4.94€6.1511
Jul ’24€5.15
€5.98
+16.2%
6.8%€6.60€5.08€6.2011
Jun ’24€5.00
€5.52
+10.3%
7.5%€6.36€4.95€6.3511
May ’24€4.52
€5.24
+15.9%
4.4%€5.63€4.91€6.9010
Apr ’24€4.28
€5.75
+34.4%
10.2%€6.81€4.79€7.4011
Mar ’24€4.42
€5.97
+35.0%
9.5%€6.98€4.92€6.1512
Feb ’24€4.46
€6.02
+35.0%
9.3%€6.98€4.96€6.1012
Jan ’24€4.36
€6.13
+40.5%
7.5%€6.80€5.19€5.7012
Dec ’23€5.00
€6.19
+23.8%
7.5%€6.81€5.20€5.7512

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 00:09
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is covered by 18 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Takumi KasaiBofA Global Research
Masashi MikiCitigroup Inc
Masahiro MochizukiCLSA