Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation

DB:T8F Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.0b

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Valuation

Is T8F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of T8F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: T8F (€7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: T8F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for T8F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

T8F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13x
PEG Ratio2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does T8F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for T8F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average64.8x
PAT PATRIZIA
127.5x46.8%€736.0m
FC9 FCR Immobilien
11.2x2.8%€97.7m
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
70.3xn/a€947.2m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
50xn/a€896.4m
T8F Tokyu Fudosan Holdings
13.1x6.5%€825.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: T8F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (64.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does T8F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a90.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a90.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: T8F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (27.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is T8F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

T8F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio15.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: T8F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst T8F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.00
€7.52
+7.4%
14.8%€9.37€5.84n/a10
Apr ’25€7.40
€7.08
-4.3%
11.5%€8.56€5.87n/a11
Mar ’25€6.15
€6.98
+13.5%
10.3%€8.23€5.94n/a11
Feb ’25€6.10
€6.81
+11.6%
10.5%€8.14€5.51n/a11
Jan ’25€5.70
€6.67
+16.9%
8.3%€7.67€5.62n/a10
Dec ’24€5.75
€6.34
+10.2%
8.2%€7.37€5.40n/a10
Nov ’24€5.45
€6.45
+18.4%
10.0%€7.61€5.58n/a11
Oct ’24€5.75
€6.24
+8.5%
8.9%€7.61€5.58n/a11
Sep ’24€5.80
€6.03
+3.9%
5.7%€6.65€5.58n/a11
Aug ’24€5.35
€5.81
+8.6%
6.8%€6.41€4.94n/a11
Jul ’24€5.15
€5.98
+16.2%
6.8%€6.60€5.08n/a11
Jun ’24€5.00
€5.52
+10.3%
7.5%€6.36€4.95n/a11
May ’24€4.52
€5.24
+15.9%
4.4%€5.63€4.91€6.9010
Apr ’24€4.28
€5.75
+34.4%
10.2%€6.81€4.79€7.4011
Mar ’24€4.42
€5.97
+35.0%
9.5%€6.98€4.92€6.1512
Feb ’24€4.46
€6.02
+35.0%
9.3%€6.98€4.96€6.1012
Jan ’24€4.36
€6.13
+40.5%
7.5%€6.80€5.19€5.7012
Dec ’23€5.00
€6.19
+23.8%
7.5%€6.81€5.20€5.7512
Nov ’23€5.05
€6.31
+24.9%
8.0%€6.91€5.11€5.4512
Oct ’23€5.15
€6.31
+22.5%
8.0%€6.91€5.11€5.7512
Sep ’23€5.45
€6.29
+15.4%
7.3%€6.93€5.18€5.8012
Aug ’23€5.30
€6.19
+16.8%
8.8%€6.94€5.19€5.3512
Jul ’23€5.00
€5.94
+18.8%
8.8%€6.73€5.03€5.1511
Jun ’23€4.80
€5.91
+23.1%
9.8%€7.21€5.12€5.0012
May ’23€4.78
€5.97
+25.0%
9.4%€7.37€5.23€4.5212

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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