Swire Properties Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Swire Properties is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 25.6% and 7.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 26% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 2.7% in 3 years.

Key information

25.6%

Earnings growth rate

26.0%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	98.5%
Revenue growth rate	7.8%
Future return on equity	2.7%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	19 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:SW9 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (HKD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	16,960	8,260	7,213	6,808	12
12/31/2025	15,553	7,173	6,868	6,040	13
12/31/2024	14,686	6,531	7,614	5,748	13
6/30/2024	15,307	2,210	4,254	4,516	N/A
3/31/2024	15,403	2,424	4,716	4,981	N/A
12/31/2023	15,499	2,637	5,178	5,445	N/A
9/30/2023	15,351	4,246	4,973	5,198	N/A
6/30/2023	15,202	5,855	4,767	4,951	N/A
3/31/2023	14,987	6,918	4,672	4,854	N/A
12/31/2022	14,771	7,980	4,577	4,756	N/A
9/30/2022	14,783	8,728	3,411	3,614	N/A
6/30/2022	14,795	9,476	2,245	2,471	N/A
3/31/2022	16,043	8,294	3,533	3,758	N/A
12/31/2021	17,290	7,112	4,821	5,045	N/A
9/30/2021	17,048	6,086	7,106	7,295	N/A
6/30/2021	16,970	5,051	9,391	9,544	N/A
3/31/2021	15,532	4,574	7,355	7,507	N/A
12/31/2020	14,093	4,096	5,319	5,469	N/A
9/30/2020	14,137	4,788	4,927	5,067	N/A
6/30/2020	14,180	5,479	4,535	4,664	N/A
3/31/2020	14,700	9,451	4,391	4,520	N/A
12/31/2019	15,219	13,423	4,246	4,375	N/A
9/30/2019	15,603	14,929	5,265	5,347	N/A
6/30/2019	15,986	16,434	6,284	6,318	N/A
3/31/2019	15,810	22,550	7,787	7,855	N/A
12/31/2018	15,634	28,666	9,289	9,391	N/A
9/30/2018	15,335	34,533	8,572	8,740	N/A
6/30/2018	15,035	40,399	7,855	8,089	N/A
3/31/2018	17,092	37,178	N/A	9,923	N/A
12/31/2017	19,149	33,957	N/A	11,756	N/A
9/30/2017	20,026	29,218	N/A	12,679	N/A
6/30/2017	20,902	24,479	N/A	13,601	N/A
3/31/2017	19,066	19,765	N/A	11,113	N/A
12/31/2016	17,229	15,050	N/A	8,625	N/A
9/30/2016	16,337	12,982	N/A	7,680	N/A
6/30/2016	15,444	10,913	N/A	6,734	N/A
3/31/2016	16,152	12,493	N/A	7,452	N/A
12/31/2015	16,860	14,072	N/A	8,170	N/A
9/30/2015	16,872	12,810	N/A	8,528	N/A
6/30/2015	16,884	11,548	N/A	8,885	N/A
3/31/2015	16,460	10,532	N/A	9,079	N/A
12/31/2014	16,035	9,516	N/A	9,273	N/A
9/30/2014	16,010	10,775	N/A	8,384	N/A
6/30/2014	15,985	12,034	N/A	7,495	N/A
3/31/2014	14,595	12,280	N/A	6,938	N/A
12/31/2013	13,204	12,525	N/A	6,381	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SW9's forecast earnings growth (25.6% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: SW9's earnings (25.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (20.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SW9's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SW9's revenue (7.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SW9's revenue (7.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SW9's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (2.7%).

Swire Properties Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Swire Properties Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2023

Swire Properties Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2023

Recent updates

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Now 24% undervalued

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Non-Executive Director recently sold €1.8m worth of stock

First half dividend of HK$0.34 announced

New minor risk - Share price stability

Swire Properties Limited Announces Ordinary Interim (Semi-Annual) Dividend for the Financial Year End 31 December 2024, Payable on October 9, 2024

Swire Properties Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Now 20% undervalued

Now 26% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 22% undervalued

Now 21% undervalued

Final dividend of HK$0.72 announced

Swire Properties Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 07, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.45 (vs HK$1.36 in FY 2022)

Swire Properties Limited Announces Second Interim Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023, Payable 02 May 2024

Swire Properties Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2023

Swire Properties Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2023

Swire Properties Limited Appoints Richard Lawrence Sell as Non-Executive Director

Swire Properties Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 14, 2024

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.33 per share at 6.0% yield

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.38 (vs HK$0.74 in 1H 2022)

Swire Properties Limited Announces First Interim Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on October 12, 2023

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

Swire Properties Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 10, 2023

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: HK$1.36 (vs HK$1.22 in FY 2021)

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.68 per share at 4.9% yield

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: HK$1.36 (vs HK$1.22 in FY 2021)

Swire Properties Limited Appoints Henry Bott as President of Its Miami-Based U.S. Real Estate Operation

Swire Properties Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Mar 09, 2023

Swire Properties Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Sep 06, 2022

Swire Properties Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Sep 06, 2022

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.32 per share

First half 2022 earnings released

Swire Properties Limited Declares First Interim Dividend for the Year Ending December 31, 2022, Payable on 06 October 2022

Swire Properties Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 11, 2022

Swire Properties Limited to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 11, 2022

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.64 per share

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.31 per share

Non-Executive Director Patrick Healy has left the company

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS HK$0.34 (vs HK$0.18 in 1H 2020)

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS HK$0.70 (vs HK$2.30 in FY 2019)

Non-Executive Director has left the company

Upcoming Dividend of HK$0.61 Per Share

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS HK$0.70 (vs HK$2.30 in FY 2019)

Revenue beats expectations

Swire Properties Limited Declares Second Interim Dividend, Payable on May 6, 2021

New 90-day low: €2.28

Gateway Real Estate Fund VI, L.P. managed by Gaw Capital Partners and Schroder Pamfleet through its fund completed the acquisition of Cityplaza One Property from Swire Properties Limited (SEHK:1972).

Swire Properties Limited Announces Board Changes, Effective from April 1, 2021

Market bids up stock over the past week

New 90-day high: €2.44

Swire Properties, Swire Pacific to Resume SHR Trading PM on Talks to Sell Cityplaza One

Swire Properties Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 11, 2021

Earnings released

Swire Properties Limited (SEHK:1972) completed the 80% stake in 102,420 square feet of property at No. 391 Chai Wan Road, Chai Wan from China Motor Bus Company, Limited (SEHK:26).

New 90-day low - €1.89

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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