Shenzhen Investment Limited

DB:SHS Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.1b

Shenzhen Investment Valuation

Is SHS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SHS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SHS (€0.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SHS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SHS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SHS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA22.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SHS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SHS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.9x
PAT PATRIZIA
2.4x1.3%€715.3m
FC9 FCR Immobilien
2.5x-4.9%€98.2m
DIC Branicks Group
0.5x-18.1%€120.9m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
2.3xn/a€888.4m
SHS Shenzhen Investment
0.6x21.3%€8.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SHS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SHS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a92.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a92.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SHS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (2.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SHS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SHS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio1.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SHS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SHS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.11
€0.17
+57.9%
23.6%€0.21€0.13n/a2
Apr ’25€0.11
€0.17
+60.9%
23.6%€0.21€0.13n/a2
Mar ’25€0.11
€0.20
+83.2%
2.3%€0.21€0.20n/a2
Feb ’25€0.12
€0.20
+76.8%
2.3%€0.21€0.20n/a2
Jan ’25€0.13
€0.21
+64.6%
2.3%€0.21€0.20n/a2
Dec ’24€0.12
€0.21
+71.5%
2.3%€0.21€0.20n/a2
Nov ’24€0.13
€0.21
+63.3%
2.3%€0.21€0.20n/a2
Oct ’24€0.14
€0.21
+48.0%
2.3%€0.21€0.20n/a2
Sep ’24€0.15
€0.21
+38.9%
0.6%€0.21€0.21n/a2
Aug ’24€0.17
€0.21
+26.0%
0.6%€0.21€0.21n/a2
Jul ’24€0.15
€0.21
+34.9%
0.6%€0.21€0.21n/a2
Jun ’24€0.18
€0.21
+18.8%
0.6%€0.21€0.21n/a2
May ’24€0.17
€0.21
+26.7%
0.6%€0.21€0.21€0.112
Apr ’24€0.15
€0.21
+36.7%
0.6%€0.21€0.21€0.112
Mar ’24€0.17
€0.21
+26.6%
2.9%€0.21€0.20€0.112
Feb ’24€0.17
€0.21
+21.4%
2.9%€0.21€0.20€0.122
Jan ’24€0.16
€0.22
+42.4%
8.1%€0.24€0.21€0.132
Dec ’23€0.14
€0.27
+86.3%
2.4%€0.27€0.26€0.122
Nov ’23€0.13
€0.27
+114.6%
2.4%€0.27€0.26€0.132
Oct ’23€0.14
€0.26
+87.2%
3.1%€0.27€0.25€0.143
Sep ’23€0.19
€0.26
+35.7%
3.1%€0.27€0.25€0.153
Aug ’23€0.19
€0.28
+49.8%
18.4%€0.37€0.23€0.174
Jul ’23€0.18
€0.28
+58.2%
18.4%€0.37€0.23€0.154
Jun ’23€0.19
€0.28
+49.8%
18.4%€0.37€0.23€0.184
May ’23€0.19
€0.28
+44.6%
19.4%€0.36€0.22€0.174

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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