Shenzhen Investment Limited

DB:SHS Stock Report

Market Cap: €955.1m

Shenzhen Investment Valuation

Is SHS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SHS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SHS (€0.09) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SHS is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SHS?

Key metric: As SHS is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SHS. This is calculated by dividing SHS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SHS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesHK$13.53b
Market CapHK$7.74b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SHS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SHS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
PAT PATRIZIA
2.4x3.8%€650.2m
DIC Branicks Group
0.7x-21.8%€186.4m
FC9 FCR Immobilien
2.5x5.1%€94.8m
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
6.7xn/a€903.2m
SHS Shenzhen Investment
0.6x39.3%€7.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SHS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SHS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.3.7x-11.1%
SHS Shenzhen Investment
0.6x39.3%US$994.56m
DIC Branicks Group
0.7x-21.8%US$194.06m
DMRE DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate
0.5x-42.0%US$85.70m
SHS 0.6xIndustry Avg. 3.7xNo. of Companies10PS02.85.68.411.214+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.3.7x97.9%
SHS Shenzhen Investment
0.6xn/aUS$994.56m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SHS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (3.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SHS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SHS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio1.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SHS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SHS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.091
€0.13
+40.1%
7.0%€0.14€0.12n/a2
Nov ’25€0.10
€0.13
+26.9%
7.0%€0.14€0.12n/a2
Oct ’25€0.11
€0.12
+14.6%
7.0%€0.13€0.12n/a2
Sep ’25€0.079
€0.13
+67.5%
2.2%€0.13€0.13n/a2
Aug ’25€0.099
€0.16
+58.1%
16.7%€0.18€0.13n/a2
Jul ’25€0.098
€0.16
+58.4%
16.7%€0.18€0.13n/a2
Jun ’25€0.12
€0.17
+39.8%
23.6%€0.21€0.13n/a2
May ’25€0.11
€0.17
+57.9%
23.6%€0.21€0.13n/a2
Apr ’25€0.11
€0.17
+60.9%
23.6%€0.21€0.13n/a2
Mar ’25€0.11
€0.20
+83.2%
2.3%€0.21€0.20n/a2
Feb ’25€0.12
€0.20
+76.8%
2.3%€0.21€0.20n/a2
Jan ’25€0.13
€0.21
+64.6%
2.3%€0.21€0.20n/a2
Dec ’24€0.12
€0.21
+71.5%
2.3%€0.21€0.20n/a2
Nov ’24€0.13
€0.21
+63.3%
2.3%€0.21€0.20€0.102
Oct ’24€0.14
€0.21
+48.0%
2.3%€0.21€0.20€0.112
Sep ’24€0.15
€0.21
+38.9%
0.6%€0.21€0.21€0.0792
Aug ’24€0.17
€0.21
+26.0%
0.6%€0.21€0.21€0.0992
Jul ’24€0.15
€0.21
+34.9%
0.6%€0.21€0.21€0.0982
Jun ’24€0.18
€0.21
+18.8%
0.6%€0.21€0.21€0.122
May ’24€0.17
€0.21
+26.7%
0.6%€0.21€0.21€0.112
Apr ’24€0.15
€0.21
+36.7%
0.6%€0.21€0.21€0.112
Mar ’24€0.17
€0.21
+26.6%
2.9%€0.21€0.20€0.112
Feb ’24€0.17
€0.21
+21.4%
2.9%€0.21€0.20€0.122
Jan ’24€0.16
€0.22
+42.4%
8.1%€0.24€0.21€0.132
Dec ’23€0.14
€0.27
+86.3%
2.4%€0.27€0.26€0.122
Nov ’23€0.13
€0.27
+114.6%
2.4%€0.27€0.26€0.132

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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