Longfor Group Holdings Limited

DB:RLF Stock Report

Market Cap: €8.9b

Longfor Group Holdings Valuation

Is RLF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RLF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RLF (€1.21) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RLF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RLF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

RLF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RLF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RLF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35x
INS Instone Real Estate Group
19x23.4%€381.7m
CRZK CR Energy
2.3x24.8%€140.1m
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
69.1xn/a€881.2m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
49.6xn/a€888.4m
RLF Longfor Group Holdings
5.4x5.8%€74.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RLF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the peer average (35x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RLF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a92.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a92.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RLF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (27.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RLF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RLF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RLF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RLF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.21
€1.65
+36.0%
21.4%€2.83€1.14n/a21
Apr ’25€1.24
€1.65
+32.7%
21.4%€2.83€1.14n/a21
Mar ’25€1.10
€2.09
+89.8%
31.1%€3.79€1.05n/a22
Feb ’25€0.91
€2.43
+166.9%
30.2%€4.13€1.07n/a22
Jan ’25€1.39
€2.87
+106.7%
19.4%€4.12€2.03n/a21
Dec ’24€1.55
€2.99
+93.1%
17.1%€4.16€2.05n/a21
Nov ’24€1.32
€3.17
+140.4%
25.9%€6.14€2.05n/a21
Oct ’24€1.61
€3.21
+99.1%
24.0%€6.14€2.40n/a22
Sep ’24€2.08
€3.24
+55.9%
23.7%€6.04€2.36n/a21
Aug ’24€2.28
€3.59
+57.3%
18.8%€6.03€2.73n/a21
Jul ’24€2.16
€3.76
+74.0%
18.7%€6.25€2.87n/a20
Jun ’24€1.67
€3.76
+125.3%
18.7%€6.27€2.88n/a20
May ’24€2.52
€3.80
+50.9%
19.1%€6.38€2.89n/a20
Apr ’24€2.54
€3.87
+52.3%
19.7%€6.48€2.94€1.2420
Mar ’24€2.86
€4.45
+55.5%
24.5%€6.66€3.00€1.1020
Feb ’24€2.96
€4.37
+47.8%
23.5%€6.66€3.00€0.9119
Jan ’24€2.80
€4.33
+54.5%
26.5%€6.62€1.89€1.3919
Dec ’23€2.74
€4.33
+58.0%
29.8%€6.60€1.88€1.5518
Nov ’23€1.35
€4.51
+233.9%
30.7%€6.78€1.93€1.3219
Oct ’23€2.82
€5.35
+89.7%
22.0%€7.55€3.20€1.6121
Sep ’23€3.08
€5.37
+74.2%
21.6%€7.51€3.19€2.0821
Aug ’23€3.18
€6.20
+95.1%
8.3%€7.56€5.23€2.2822
Jul ’23€4.42
€6.00
+35.9%
9.0%€7.41€4.95€2.1623
Jun ’23€4.54
€5.86
+29.1%
8.8%€7.20€4.81€1.6723
May ’23€4.58
€6.12
+33.7%
8.5%€7.53€5.03€2.5223
Apr ’23€4.62
€5.90
+27.7%
11.7%€7.40€3.72€2.5423

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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