Longfor Group Holdings Limited

DB:RLF Stock Report

Market Cap: €8.7b

Longfor Group Holdings Valuation

Is RLF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RLF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€4.88
Fair Value
74.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
20
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: RLF (€1.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RLF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RLF?

Key metric: As RLF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RLF. This is calculated by dividing RLF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RLF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.2x
EarningsCN¥10.66b
Market CapCN¥65.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RLF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RLF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.4x
INS Instone Real Estate Group
26x32.5%€367.4m
CRZK CR Energy
9.3x50.1%€116.2m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
23.5xn/a€784.4m
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
63xn/a€881.2m
RLF Longfor Group Holdings
6.2x3.4%€70.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RLF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the peer average (30.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RLF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GTY Gateway Real Estate
0.7xn/aUS$152.83m
ADJ Adler Group
0.05xn/aUS$46.38m
AAA A.A.A. Allgemeine Anlageverwaltung
2.6xn/aUS$47.44m
N9H Global Connectivity
0.2xn/aUS$2.40m
No more companies available in this PE range
RLF 6.2xIndustry Avg. 18.6xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RLF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the European Real Estate industry average (18.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RLF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RLF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.2x
Fair PE Ratio13x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RLF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RLF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.23
€1.42
+15.8%
15.4%€2.02€1.11n/a20
Feb ’26€1.19
€1.42
+19.4%
18.0%€2.09€1.11n/a20
Jan ’26€1.21
€1.55
+28.1%
25.5%€2.52€1.07n/a20
Dec ’25€1.30
€1.55
+19.0%
24.7%€2.45€1.08n/a21
Nov ’25€1.50
€1.53
+2.0%
24.5%€2.41€1.06n/a21
Oct ’25€1.70
€1.37
-19.4%
20.3%€2.39€1.05n/a21
Sep ’25€1.02
€1.35
+32.8%
12.5%€1.75€1.08n/a21
Aug ’25€1.11
€1.64
+48.2%
20.2%€2.60€1.14n/a20
Jul ’25€1.24
€1.83
+47.9%
23.0%€2.82€1.14n/a21
Jun ’25€1.40
€1.79
+27.6%
23.5%€2.79€1.13n/a21
May ’25€1.32
€1.66
+26.1%
21.2%€2.83€1.14n/a21
Apr ’25€1.24
€1.65
+32.7%
21.4%€2.83€1.14n/a21
Mar ’25€1.10
€2.09
+89.8%
31.1%€3.79€1.05n/a22
Feb ’25€0.91
€2.43
+166.9%
30.2%€4.13€1.07€1.1922
Jan ’25€1.39
€2.87
+106.7%
19.4%€4.12€2.03€1.2121
Dec ’24€1.55
€2.99
+93.1%
17.1%€4.16€2.05€1.3021
Nov ’24€1.32
€3.17
+140.4%
25.9%€6.14€2.05€1.5021
Oct ’24€1.61
€3.21
+99.1%
24.0%€6.14€2.40€1.7022
Sep ’24€2.08
€3.24
+55.9%
23.7%€6.04€2.36€1.0221
Aug ’24€2.28
€3.59
+57.3%
18.8%€6.03€2.73€1.1121
Jul ’24€2.16
€3.76
+74.0%
18.7%€6.25€2.87€1.2420
Jun ’24€1.67
€3.76
+125.3%
18.7%€6.27€2.88€1.4020
May ’24€2.52
€3.80
+50.9%
19.1%€6.38€2.89€1.3220
Apr ’24€2.54
€3.87
+52.3%
19.7%€6.48€2.94€1.2420
Mar ’24€2.86
€4.45
+55.5%
24.5%€6.66€3.00€1.1020
Feb ’24€2.96
€4.37
+47.8%
23.5%€6.66€3.00€0.9119
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
€1.39
Fair Value
11.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
20
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/19 05:59
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/19 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Longfor Group Holdings Limited is covered by 54 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yunting LuoBarclays
Frank ChenBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Christina NgaiBOCI Research Ltd.