PT Ciputra Development Tbk

DB:PUWA Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.3b

Ciputra Development Valuation

Is PUWA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PUWA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PUWA (€0.06) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PUWA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PUWA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PUWA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.6x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PUWA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PUWA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.1x
INS Instone Real Estate Group
18.7x23.4%€375.6m
CRZK CR Energy
2.3x24.8%€140.7m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
50xn/a€896.4m
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
73.2xn/a€932.6m
PUWA Ciputra Development
11.7x12.0%€22.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PUWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (36.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PUWA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a90.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a90.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PUWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (27.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PUWA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PUWA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ratio14.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PUWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PUWA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.059
€0.081
+38.6%
11.1%€0.098€0.066n/a16
Apr ’25€0.067
€0.083
+23.2%
10.8%€0.099€0.067n/a14
Mar ’25€0.067
€0.082
+22.6%
9.4%€0.094€0.067n/a14
Feb ’25€0.063
€0.082
+30.5%
9.4%€0.094€0.067n/a14
Jan ’25€0.06
€0.082
+36.6%
7.8%€0.094€0.068n/a14
Dec ’24€0.059
€0.082
+39.7%
10.4%€0.095€0.058n/a14
Nov ’24€0.055
€0.08
+45.4%
11.1%€0.095€0.058n/a14
Oct ’24€0.053
€0.082
+54.2%
11.1%€0.097€0.059n/a14
Sep ’24€0.059
€0.081
+37.9%
12.0%€0.099€0.058n/a13
Aug ’24€0.056
€0.08
+45.0%
12.1%€0.099€0.058n/a13
Jul ’24€0.057
€0.081
+42.9%
12.1%€0.10€0.059n/a13
Jun ’24€0.058
€0.082
+40.9%
11.5%€0.10€0.06n/a15
May ’24€0.053
€0.079
+48.6%
12.7%€0.10€0.059€0.05916
Apr ’24€0.051
€0.079
+53.8%
12.8%€0.10€0.06€0.06716
Mar ’24€0.052
€0.08
+54.1%
12.5%€0.10€0.06€0.06717
Feb ’24€0.051
€0.079
+56.9%
12.6%€0.10€0.06€0.06317
Jan ’24€0.053
€0.079
+49.2%
12.8%€0.10€0.059€0.0616
Dec ’23€0.053
€0.079
+49.2%
12.8%€0.10€0.059€0.05916
Nov ’23€0.051
€0.088
+71.3%
13.4%€0.11€0.063€0.05519
Oct ’23€0.057
€0.094
+66.7%
11.0%€0.11€0.073€0.05318
Sep ’23€0.056
€0.093
+65.9%
11.3%€0.11€0.072€0.05917
Aug ’23€0.052
€0.093
+79.0%
11.4%€0.11€0.071€0.05616
Jul ’23€0.045
€0.092
+103.5%
9.6%€0.11€0.075€0.05717
Jun ’23€0.054
€0.092
+68.7%
9.4%€0.11€0.076€0.05818
May ’23€0.061
€0.092
+51.5%
9.4%€0.11€0.076€0.05318

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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