Ciputra Development Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of PUWA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

PUWA (€0.04) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€0.06)

Is PUWA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PUWA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow

Simply Wall St

€0.064

Fair Value

36.1% undervalued

Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: PUWA (€0.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PUWA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PUWA?

Key metric: As PUWA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PUWA. This is calculated by dividing PUWA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PUWA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	7.6x
Earnings	Rp2.30t
Market Cap	Rp17.42t

PUWA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	4.6x
PEG Ratio	1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PUWA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PUWA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	19.6x
INS Instone Real Estate Group	11.5x	17.23%	€411.1m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien	23.9x	n/a	€824.4m
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien	31.2x	n/a	€1.1b
DEQ Deutsche EuroShop	11.7x	9.11%	€1.4b
PUWA Ciputra Development	7.6x	4.62%	€17.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PUWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the peer average (19.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PUWA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
GTY Gateway Real Estate	0.6x	n/a	US$151.54m
AAA A.A.A. Allgemeine Anlageverwaltung	2.6x	n/a	US$47.44m
ADJ Adler Group	0.04x	n/a	US$34.36m
2GI GIEAG Immobilien	3.3x	n/a	US$15.52m

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PUWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (18.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PUWA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PUWA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	7.6x
Fair PE Ratio	10x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PUWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PUWA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	€0.041	€0.073 +77.06%	14.96%	€0.086	€0.049	n/a	12
Jul ’26	€0.041	€0.074 +79.39%	14.01%	€0.087	€0.05	n/a	14
Jun ’26	€0.044	€0.076 +70.69%	13.54%	€0.09	€0.051	n/a	15
May ’26	€0.04	€0.073 +85.30%	16.03%	€0.09	€0.05	n/a	15
Apr ’26	€0.045	€0.08 +77.44%	15.73%	€0.095	€0.053	n/a	15
Mar ’26	€0.046	€0.084 +80.52%	14.77%	€0.099	€0.055	n/a	15
Feb ’26	€0.05	€0.088 +77.18%	14.38%	€0.10	€0.056	n/a	14
Jan ’26	€0.051	€0.092 +82.24%	8.90%	€0.10	€0.069	n/a	13
Dec ’25	€0.056	€0.093 +67.79%	8.64%	€0.10	€0.069	n/a	13
Nov ’25	€0.067	€0.091 +35.18%	10.35%	€0.10	€0.068	n/a	13
Oct ’25	€0.071	€0.088 +23.22%	11.38%	€0.10	€0.068	n/a	13
Sep ’25	€0.068	€0.088 +29.56%	11.38%	€0.10	€0.068	n/a	13
Aug ’25	€0.063	€0.082 +30.04%	11.28%	€0.096	€0.066	n/a	13
Jul ’25	€0.056	€0.081 +45.17%	11.21%	€0.097	€0.065	€0.041	15
Jun ’25	€0.057	€0.082 +43.39%	11.10%	€0.099	€0.067	€0.044	16
May ’25	€0.059	€0.081 +38.73%	11.43%	€0.098	€0.066	€0.04	15
Apr ’25	€0.067	€0.083 +23.95%	10.61%	€0.099	€0.067	€0.045	15
Mar ’25	€0.067	€0.082 +23.49%	9.81%	€0.094	€0.067	€0.046	14
Feb ’25	€0.063	€0.082 +31.40%	9.81%	€0.094	€0.067	€0.05	14
Jan ’25	€0.06	€0.083 +37.51%	8.30%	€0.094	€0.068	€0.051	14
Dec ’24	€0.059	€0.083 +40.71%	10.72%	€0.095	€0.058	€0.056	14
Nov ’24	€0.055	€0.08 +45.36%	11.12%	€0.095	€0.058	€0.067	14
Oct ’24	€0.053	€0.082 +54.22%	11.08%	€0.097	€0.059	€0.071	14
Sep ’24	€0.059	€0.081 +37.87%	11.98%	€0.099	€0.058	€0.068	13
Aug ’24	€0.056	€0.08 +44.97%	12.07%	€0.099	€0.058	€0.063	13
Jul ’24	€0.057	€0.081 +42.93%	12.10%	€0.10	€0.059	€0.056	13

AnalystConsensusTarget

Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts

€0.061

Fair Value

32.5% undervalued

Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/07/28 17:42
End of Day Share Price	2025/07/28 00:00
Earnings	2025/03/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

PT Ciputra Development Tbk is covered by 32 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Igor Nyoman	BNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Baruna Arkasatyo	CGS International
Ferry Wong	Citigroup Inc